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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Turris–DzingelPyatt–Hoffman–PageauBrassard–Smith–StonePyatt–Smith–PageauBrassard–Hoffman–StoneNeil–Ryan–TurrisNeil–Turris–DzingelKelly–Hoffman–LazarMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciWideman–ClaessonMethot–CeciPhaneuf–Karlsson
van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner1:480.26–0.003:580.06–0.051:410.05–0.001:210.09–0.001:050.00–0.063:360.14–0.054:260.08–0.090:520.00–0.020:390.19–0.00
Hyman–Brown–Matthews1:350.17–0.051:010.00–0.000:340.00–0.231:300.03–0.041:430.03–0.001:160.09–0.000:420.00–0.004:450.04–0.082:540.20–0.231:320.18–0.040:550.02–0.03
Komarov–Kadri–Nylander1:490.20–0.005:290.32–0.170:370.00–0.001:240.11–0.073:550.29–0.032:480.12–0.04
Martin–Gauthier–Soshnikov1:020.05–0.001:250.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:500.01–0.003:420.00–0.00
Marincin–Zaitsev2:140.20–0.001:470.11–0.004:380.35–0.171:500.09–0.005:110.46–0.074:120.37–0.033:060.12–0.00
Gardiner–Carrick1:340.11–0.033:100.06–0.001:100.05–0.001:060.03–0.000:550.00–0.060:440.00–0.004:030.06–0.093:560.03–0.001:550.08–0.020:570.02–0.05
Polak–Hunwick1:590.25–0.022:090.00–0.050:370.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:340.09–0.000:580.00–0.001:570.04–0.003:160.11–0.052:470.09–0.060:480.00–0.00
Polak–Gardiner0:480.00–0.001:250.03–0.041:090.00–0.040:330.19–0.000:320.00–0.00
Gardiner–Zaitsev0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gardiner–Marincin0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FNylander FKomarov FKadri FHyman FBrown FMatthews FMartin FGauthier FSoshnikov FCarrick DGardiner DHunwick DPolak DZaitsev DMarincin DAndersen GPyatt FPageau FHoffman FTurris FRyan FDzingel FSmith FBrassard FStone FNeil FKelly FLazar FCeci DKarlsson DMethot DPhaneuf DWideman DClaesson DCondon G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3830:080:482:2886
Jake GardinerTOR3025:530:521:3034
Cody CeciOTT3725:270:411:3249
Kyle TurrisOTT2924:290:512:0435
Dion PhaneufOTT3824:180:381:3267
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3523:220:401:1996
Mark StoneOTT2522:270:541:2774
Marc MethotOTT3421:480:381:2927
Martin MarincinTOR2721:140:471:3144
Mike HoffmanOTT2520:270:491:3665
Auston MatthewsTOR2519:070:461:1622
Zach HymanTOR2718:590:421:1615
Mitch MarnerTOR2418:440:471:22122
Connor BrownTOR2918:390:391:0825
Tom PyattOTT2518:370:451:1727
Roman PolakTOR2518:270:441:3615
Leo KomarovTOR2918:100:381:0975
James van RiemsdykTOR2318:080:471:35112
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2417:440:441:1738
Tyler BozakTOR2417:070:431:22122
Nazem KadriTOR2416:420:421:2296
Zack SmithOTT2316:310:431:2758
Derick BrassardOTT2216:120:441:1453
Matt HunwickTOR2515:550:381:3625
Ryan DzingelOTT2315:210:401:2122
William NylanderTOR2315:100:401:0865
Bobby RyanOTT2114:210:411:1611
Chris WidemanOTT2313:190:351:1340
Connor CarrickTOR1613:080:491:2714
Nikita SoshnikovTOR1811:070:370:5824
Fredrik ClaessonOTT1710:400:381:0821
Frederik GauthierTOR209:420:290:5619
Matt MartinTOR127:500:391:0424
Chris KellyOTT126:200:321:0851
Chris NeilOTT85:020:380:5530
Curtis LazarOTT104:350:280:5930