Sat, Jan 21, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
40%
8%
45%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 30:08 | 0.30 | 49.9% | +44.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:27 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:29 | 0.40 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:18 | 0.36 | 44.4% | +44.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:27 | 1.02 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.00 | 45.2% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:27 | 0.91 | 26.2% | +44.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.04 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.14 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.11 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.19 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.12 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.06 | 24.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:19 | 0.28 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.03 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:20 | 0.00 | 98.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:02 | 0.00 | 21.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:35 | 0.09 | 88.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.95 | +2.0 | 64:45 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 25:53 | 0.19 | 31.2% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.18 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.08 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:07 | 0.47 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.29 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.28 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.26 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.16 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 18:08 | 0.70 | 72.6% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.19 | 61.8% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.22 | 67.7% | +51.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.10 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 15:10 | 0.74 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.02 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.06 | 57.3% | +34.1 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 4.07 | +2.1 | 65:00 |