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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 31, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakBackes–Krejci–VatranoBeleskey–Nash–SpoonerMoore–Hayes–SchallerMoore–Nash–SchallerNash–Spooner–VatranoMcQuaid–KrugChara–CarloMiller–MillerKrug–Carlo
Filppula–Boyle–Drouin1:200.05–0.004:060.00–0.153:440.05–0.231:010.01–0.003:250.01–0.203:520.05–0.123:270.05–0.19
Dumont–Brown–Paquette6:450.27–0.260:450.00–0.004:220.00–0.083:060.27–0.051:490.03–0.18
Palat–Kucherov–Namestnikov1:530.05–0.001:500.16–0.090:330.00–0.012:400.08–0.113:000.02–0.104:090.22–0.100:540.05–0.00
Killorn–Johnson–Point1:040.00–0.101:120.02–0.021:550.07–0.001:590.00–0.001:430.02–0.020:580.00–0.004:190.13–0.18
Killorn–Johnson–Namestnikov0:420.00–0.010:470.00–0.010:400.12–0.010:550.00–0.131:130.00–0.11
Palat–Kucherov–Point1:480.13–0.141:070.12–0.000:590.01–0.15
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov0:450.00–0.08
Hedman–Dotchin1:080.00–0.026:030.05–0.343:130.07–0.101:060.02–0.000:390.00–0.010:470.03–0.004:500.15–0.224:140.03–0.405:320.16–0.16
Coburn–Stralman8:170.29–0.351:370.00–0.161:190.00–0.061:310.00–0.006:360.00–0.184:260.29–0.143:080.00–0.33
Garrison–Sustr1:130.05–0.001:490.24–0.002:570.05–0.093:240.07–0.112:500.11–0.104:390.24–0.012:170.05–0.10
Hedman–Sustr0:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:410.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.031:150.02–0.03
Stralman–Garrison0:310.00–0.060:420.00–0.010:400.00–0.010:310.00–0.06
Garrison–Dotchin0:480.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBoyle FDrouin FFilppula FPaquette FBrown FDumont FKucherov FPalat FNamestnikov FJohnson FKillorn FPoint FStralman DCoburn DDotchin DHedman DGarrison DSustr DBishop GBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FBackes FKrejci FVatrano FNash FSpooner FMoore FHayes FSchaller FBeleskey FKrug DMcQuaid DCarlo DChara DMiller DMiller DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2727:031:003:1285
Zdeno CharaBOS2522:170:532:0544
Adam McQuaidBOS2921:230:442:1626
Anton StralmanTBL2721:070:471:5233
Torey KrugBOS2721:060:472:1636
Brandon CarloBOS2620:310:471:3935
Jake DotchinTBL2520:250:491:2284
Brad MarchandBOS2919:390:411:5245
Ondrej PalatTBL2919:140:401:2772
David KrejciBOS2618:530:441:0854
Nikita KucherovTBL2418:470:473:2761
Tyler JohnsonTBL2418:450:471:5453
Patrice BergeronBOS2918:450:391:5245
Kevan MillerBOS2318:090:471:4521
David PastrnakBOS2717:230:391:3653
Colin MillerBOS2116:200:471:4531
Braydon CoburnTBL2316:030:422:2333
Jason GarrisonTBL2215:510:431:4426
Andrej SustrTBL1915:490:502:0915
Brayden PointTBL2415:470:391:2253
Alex KillornTBL2115:370:451:2634
Jonathan DrouinTBL2115:190:441:2233
Riley NashBOS2315:050:391:0412
Brian BoyleTBL2215:040:411:0945
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2114:510:421:2762
David BackesBOS2014:220:431:5253
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2114:200:411:1943
Frank VatranoBOS2014:170:431:2332
Dominic MooreBOS2113:100:381:2203
Cedric PaquetteTBL2012:290:371:3447
Matt BeleskeyBOS1811:440:391:1022
Ryan SpoonerBOS1511:100:451:0411
JT BrownTBL1710:550:391:1435
Gabriel DumontTBL1710:340:371:2136
Tim SchallerBOS159:370:381:0501
Jimmy HayesBOS138:090:381:0611