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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 2, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:26Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 5:52Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 6:05Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 6:45Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 7:18Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 8:38Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  8. P1 8:50Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon
  9. P1 10:13Brassard: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin · OTT Methot, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone

  10. P1 10:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Condon5v4
  11. P1 13:43Shot by Hedman, saved by Condon
  12. P1 14:29Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 13:55Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon
  14. P1 18:07Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:47Shot by Stone, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  18. P2 0:48Filppula: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Boyle, Hedman, Dotchin, Drouin · OTT Methot, Brassard, Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Stone

  19. P2 2:32Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P2 3:24Shot by Lazar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P2 3:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Condon
  22. P2 3:39Goal by Johnson (Kucherov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin · OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci, Lazar

  23. P2 4:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 5:07Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 6:33Goal by Stone (Smith, Ceci)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Johnson, Dumont, Brown · OTT Methot, Brassard, Smith, Stone, Ceci

  26. P2 6:49Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Condon
  27. P2 7:01Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Condon
  28. P2 10:19Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 10:20Coburn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Kucherov, Brown, Dotchin · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  30. P2 11:03Goal by Turris (Hoffman, Karlsson)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Palat, Paquette · OTT Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  31. P2 11:49Namestnikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin · OTT Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  32. P2 12:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P2 13:19Shot by Wideman, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 13:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 14:27Shot by Kelly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 15:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon
  37. P2 17:11Shot by Drouin, saved by Condon
  38. P2 18:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon
  39. P2 13:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 18:30Phaneuf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Namestnikov · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci

  41. P2 18:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Condon5v4
  42. P2 19:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Condon5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:00Shot by Palat, saved by Condon
  46. P3 2:23Shot by Palat, saved by Condon
  47. P3 2:24Palat: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Point · OTT Kelly, Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau

  48. P3 2:53Goal by Hoffman (Turris, Stone)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson · OTT Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  49. P3 3:53Shot by Turris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 3:59Shot by Coburn, saved by Condon
  51. P3 5:33Stone: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Drouin · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Stone, Pageau, Ceci

  52. P3 5:55Shot by Killorn, saved by Condon5v4
  53. P3 7:46Goal by Point (Boyle, Palat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Point · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Stone, Ceci

  54. P3 9:22Goal by Stone (Karlsson, Brassard)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov · OTT Methot, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  55. P3 10:21Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 10:39Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 11:20Shot by Wideman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 14:10Shot by Stralman, saved by Condon
  59. P3 15:30Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  60. P3 15:35Shot by Pageau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 17:07Dotchin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin · OTT Kelly, Borowiecki, Wingels, Wideman, Lazar

  62. P3 17:21Shot by Turris, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 17:48Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  64. P3 19:35Goal by Kelly (Karlsson)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Drouin · OTT Kelly, Pyatt, Karlsson, Pageau, Ceci

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final