Thu, Feb 2, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
9%
50%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 26:18 | 0.28 | 57.8% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:38 | 0.11 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.04 | 37.0% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.05 | 47.9% | +23.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.16 | 47.0% | +34.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.23 | 51.6% | +56.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:47 | 0.25 | 47.0% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 67.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.18 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.15 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.05 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.04 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.64 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:01 | 0.15 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.85 | −0.2 | 59:54 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 27:23 | 0.06 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.22 | 68.4% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.38 | 66.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.12 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.05 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.05 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.23 | 48.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.17 | 53.5% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.05 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.18 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.13 | 59.9% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.06 | 90.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:50 | 0.13 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 1.75 | −2.2 | 59:02 |