Thu, Feb 2, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
29%
11%
9%
50%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ryan–Turris–Dzingel | Brassard–Smith–Stone | Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau | Kelly–Wingels–Lazar | Brassard–Hoffman–Stone | Kelly–Pyatt–Pageau | Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | Wingels–Dzingel–Lazar | Kelly–Turris–Wingels | Methot–Karlsson | Phaneuf–Ceci | Borowiecki–Wideman | Phaneuf–Wideman | Phaneuf–Karlsson | Borowiecki–Ceci | Methot–Wideman | Methot–Ceci | Karlsson–Borowiecki | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filppula–Boyle–Drouin | 2:430.08–0.06 | 3:450.00–0.05 | 1:110.00–0.05 | 2:150.11–0.05 | 4:210.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 1:190.08–0.00 | 1:500.06–0.05 | 0:370.05–0.11 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Namestnikov | 2:470.04–0.04 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 1:570.16–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.10 | 0:450.08–0.03 | 2:470.02–0.08 | 4:160.25–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 1:190.00–0.04 | 0:400.32–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dumont–Brown–Paquette | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:190.01–0.02 | 1:280.13–0.01 | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 0:430.12–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:540.06–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.01 | |||||||
| Killorn–Palat–Point | 1:430.04–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.11 | 1:080.07–0.00 | 1:050.08–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 2:080.10–0.16 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 2:180.04–0.00 | 1:080.07–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 1:280.06–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Killorn–Johnson–Namestnikov | 1:000.02–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Dotchin | 3:510.10–0.08 | 3:200.06–0.00 | 2:010.19–0.05 | 1:320.06–0.00 | 0:450.08–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 4:590.07–0.00 | 1:520.27–0.03 | 1:590.06–0.05 | 1:380.00–0.04 | 0:430.01–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | |||||
| Coburn–Stralman | 2:350.07–0.07 | 1:490.00–0.03 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 2:420.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:280.09–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Garrison–Witkowski | 1:000.00–0.01 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:200.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Garrison–Dotchin | 1:530.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 | 0:500.09–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.02 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:190.06–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Stralman–Garrison | 1:270.00–0.14 | 1:180.08–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:380.08–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Coburn–Witkowski | 0:570.00–0.06 | 0:510.05–0.05 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 0:370.05–0.11 | ||||||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 1:120.00–0.10 | 0:560.10–0.08 | 0:590.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| Witkowski–Hedman | 0:510.01–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 27:23 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 3 | 6 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 31 | 26:18 | 0:51 | 2:33 | 4 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 29 | 22:44 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 4 | 9 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 27 | 21:11 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 28 | 20:38 | 0:44 | 1:54 | 4 | 6 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 29 | 20:06 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 2 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 19:56 | 0:57 | 2:30 | 6 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 25 | 19:22 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 5 | 6 |
 Jake DotchinTBL | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 18:38 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 22 | 18:10 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 17:51 | 0:56 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 23 | 17:20 | 0:45 | 2:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 24 | 17:19 | 0:43 | 2:00 | 1 | 7 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 19 | 17:12 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 20 | 16:47 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 4 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 18 | 16:34 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 2:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 18 | 16:29 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 1 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 22 | 16:17 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 2 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 23 | 16:03 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 0 | 4 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 22 | 15:56 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 0 | 8 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 21 | 15:51 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 5 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 6 | 1 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 19 | 15:04 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 5 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 19 | 14:53 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 1 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 16 | 13:18 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 18 | 12:35 | 0:42 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 17 | 12:03 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 16 | 11:53 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Luke WitkowskiTBL | 14 | 10:58 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 0 | 0 |
 Tommy WingelsOTT | 13 | 9:23 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 2 | 0 |
 Gabriel DumontTBL | 10 | 8:14 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Curtis LazarOTT | 11 | 8:01 | 0:44 | 1:54 | 2 | 0 |
 JT BrownTBL | 11 | 7:50 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 0 | 0 |