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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 11, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:31Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 3:30Shot by Gorges, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 4:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:13Goal by Kane (Reinhart, Eichel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  6. P1 4:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:39Gardiner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Brown, Matthews · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  8. P1 5:08Goal by Reinhart (Okposo, Eichel)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Hyman · BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  9. P1 9:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 10:16Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 10:20Shot by Martin, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 10:23Shot by Martin, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 12:12Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:34Shot by Falk, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 13:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 13:09Shot by Polak, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 13:16Ristolainen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · BUF Gionta, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  18. P1 13:16van Riemsdyk: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner · BUF Gionta, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  19. P1 14:29Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 14:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 15:06Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 15:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 15:12Shot by Leivo, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 15:29Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Leivo, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Moulson, Okposo, Grant, Kulikov, McCabe

  25. P1 17:00Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner5v4
  26. P1 18:02Goal by Kane (Eichel, Falk)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Smith, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Falk, Kane, Fedun, Bailey, Eichel

  27. P1 0:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 0:00Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 2:36Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 2:49Shot by Grant, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 3:42Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 4:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 5:23Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 6:18Shot by Bailey, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 6:22Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Martin, Smith, Leivo, Rielly, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, Falk, O'Reilly, Fedun, Bailey

  39. P2 8:00Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner5v4
  40. P2 9:16Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 9:37Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 10:32Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 11:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 13:38Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 14:49Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 15:12Gorges: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Marner, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Gorges, Kane, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel

  47. P2 15:20Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lehner5v4
  48. P2 15:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner5v4
  49. P2 15:25Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehner5v4
  50. P2 15:57Goal by Marner (Bozak, Zaitsev)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Gionta, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen

  51. P2 16:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 18:52Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 19:00Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  54. P2 19:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 2:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 2:59Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 3:09Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 3:27Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 4:02Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 4:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 4:57Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 5:48Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 6:02Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 6:12Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 7:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 9:23Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 12:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 13:11Shot by Polak, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 13:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 15:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 16:15Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 17:31Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lehner6v5
  76. P3 19:32Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner6v5
  77. P3 19:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner6v5
  78. P3 19:56Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner6v5
  79. P3 19:56Rielly: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  80. P3 19:56Ristolainen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final