Sat, Feb 11, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
69%
8%
16%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Bailey | Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | Gionta–Foligno–Rodrigues | Moulson–Ennis–Grant | Gionta–Grant–Foligno | Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly | McCabe–Ristolainen | Gorges–Kulikov | Falk–Fedun | Falk–Kulikov | Kulikov–Fedun | Gorges–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Brown–Matthews | 2:560.06–0.00 | 6:160.16–0.34 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 0:340.00–0.10 | 3:090.05–0.31 | 8:120.54–0.12 | 1:200.00–0.00 | |||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Nylander | 3:560.11–0.25 | 1:260.00–0.02 | 2:390.09–0.00 | 4:170.08–0.00 | 1:280.03–0.00 | 4:050.16–0.27 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | 3:160.33–0.10 | 1:160.02–0.06 | 2:020.06–0.11 | 1:280.06–0.00 | 4:080.16–0.23 | 2:460.28–0.00 | 1:310.03–0.06 | |||||
| Martin–Smith–Leivo | 1:270.00–0.07 | 1:100.03–0.08 | 3:010.33–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:410.03–0.13 | 1:470.00–0.06 | 1:450.33–0.00 | |||||
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | 1:360.01–0.01 | 1:130.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kadri–Hyman–Nylander | 0:470.02–0.00 | 1:010.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Zaitsev | 7:550.74–0.32 | 1:330.02–0.00 | 1:160.08–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:180.02–0.00 | 5:120.13–0.10 | 5:010.28–0.03 | 2:250.15–0.27 | 1:090.01–0.00 | 0:340.32–0.00 | ||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 2:390.06–0.01 | 6:390.16–0.36 | 1:120.03–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.10 | 4:210.06–0.31 | 6:360.15–0.12 | 2:150.00–0.01 | 0:390.05–0.00 | |||
| Polak–Hunwick | 1:400.03–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 5:160.09–0.25 | 0:450.32–0.00 | 0:520.01–0.13 | 4:560.07–0.13 | 2:100.41–0.00 | 3:430.06–0.00 | 0:470.36–0.00 | |||
| Rielly–Carrick | 1:070.01–0.06 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.06 | |||||||||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 0:590.09–0.09 | 1:290.05–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 31 | 24:13 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 4 | 5 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 29 | 23:49 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 1 | 8 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 31 | 23:00 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 2 | 8 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 27 | 22:11 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 21:59 | 0:55 | 1:51 | 4 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 21:52 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 4 | 0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 27 | 21:15 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 1 | 5 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 30 | 21:05 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 3 | 7 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 24 | 20:38 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 1 | 7 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 23 | 20:33 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 6 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 24 | 20:24 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 5 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 20:16 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 10 | 2 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 8 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 25 | 18:47 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 22 | 18:33 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 0 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 18:22 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 22 | 18:12 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 8 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 17:19 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 17:10 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 6 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 16:12 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 21 | 15:28 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 18 | 14:49 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 24 | 14:35 | 0:36 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 19 | 13:58 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 21 | 13:49 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor FedunBUF | 21 | 12:49 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 17 | 11:50 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh LeivoTOR | 15 | 10:44 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 17 | 9:53 | 0:35 | 0:52 | 1 | 5 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 13 | 8:09 | 0:38 | 1:36 | 0 | 4 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 12 | 8:08 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 8 | 6:04 | 0:46 | 0:54 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 9 | 5:52 | 0:39 | 0:52 | 1 | 0 |