Sat, Feb 11, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
69%
8%
16%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dmitry KulikovD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:13 | 0.03 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:49 | 0.07 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.00 | 70.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
 Josh GorgesD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.05 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Evander KaneLW · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.11 | 72.4% | +23.9 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.19 | 31.4% | +13.3 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 18:33 | 0.17 | 43.4% | +37.2 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.34 | 41.1% | +26.5 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.01 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.30 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Justin FalkD · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.02 | 40.5% | +10.7 |
 Justin BaileyRW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.16 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Taylor FedunD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Derek GrantC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.23 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:04 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:52 | 0.03 | 13.9% | 0.0 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | W | 44 | 43 | 1 | .977 | 3.29 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.13 | 68.7% | +7.7 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.17 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:52 | 0.19 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:33 | 0.07 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:24 | 0.52 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.24 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.10 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:22 | 0.59 | 51.1% | +7.7 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.33 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.27 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.13 | 51.4% | +7.7 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.09 | 54.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.02 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.06 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.03 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
 Ben SmithRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:09 | 0.05 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:08 | 0.30 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.72 | −1.3 | 56:22 |