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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 11, 2017·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Winnipeg Jets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

WPG winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Killorn–Kucherov–NamestnikovPalat–Drouin–PointDumont–Brown–PaquetteFilppula–Boyle–CondraStralman–GarrisonHedman–DotchinCoburn–SustrStralman–HedmanCoburn–DotchinGarrison–Sustr
Matthias–Lowry–Armia4:200.27–0.372:180.00–0.000:360.02–0.001:060.01–0.001:570.06–0.002:570.10–0.001:450.13–0.001:180.00–0.090:360.02–0.00
Wheeler–Little–Perreault0:470.03–0.000:560.05–0.031:490.04–0.003:220.13–0.022:190.09–0.032:050.15–0.022:580.00–0.00
Scheifele–Ehlers–Laine1:030.11–0.121:070.00–0.092:330.21–0.160:500.00–0.002:110.14–0.041:110.11–0.002:290.02–0.25
Wheeler–Perreault–Scheifele1:060.02–0.002:110.10–0.191:280.05–0.001:520.13–0.162:080.10–0.150:410.02–0.000:540.00–0.01
Little–Ehlers–Laine1:200.00–0.011:180.00–0.001:030.04–0.001:200.00–0.000:590.04–0.000:510.14–0.010:350.00–0.00
Stafford–Lowry–Copp1:280.00–0.050:380.00–0.040:370.00–0.001:160.00–0.041:140.00–0.050:380.00–0.01
Stafford–Copp–Petan1:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:270.00–0.00
Matthias–Armia–Petan1:070.00–0.051:030.00–0.05
Byfuglien–Chiarot2:500.09–0.172:180.00–0.001:210.25–0.042:130.01–0.191:310.01–0.043:000.00–0.121:460.00–0.120:430.00–0.120:490.34–0.001:080.00–0.01
Trouba–Morrissey2:310.13–0.003:290.11–0.281:110.06–0.162:310.13–0.162:220.13–0.032:360.05–0.160:310.00–0.09
Chiarot–Trouba1:510.00–0.000:470.00–0.042:030.00–0.021:090.00–0.002:310.05–0.021:420.00–0.00
Byfuglien–Morrissey2:380.15–0.011:430.16–0.002:520.16–0.000:500.11–0.000:350.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:370.00–0.01
Postma–Chiarot0:460.05–0.000:530.05–0.032:240.04–0.001:330.04–0.003:040.06–0.030:460.05–0.000:560.04–0.000:360.02–0.00
Byfuglien–Trouba1:150.00–0.120:380.00–0.001:100.08–0.000:310.09–0.040:420.08–0.002:290.00–0.09
Postma–Morrissey0:340.00–0.050:530.04–0.000:300.00–0.051:020.04–0.00
Enstrom–Byfuglien
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FStafford FLowry FWheeler FScheifele FPerreault FLittle FPetan FEhlers FLaine FMatthias FArmia FPostma DChiarot DByfuglien DEnstrom DTrouba DMorrissey DHellebuyck GBoyle FCondra FFilppula FBrown FPaquette FDumont FKillorn FKucherov FNamestnikov FPalat FDrouin FPoint FGarrison DStralman DDotchin DHedman DCoburn DSustr DBishop G
WPGTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG3127:250:532:0482
Jacob TroubaWPG2827:110:582:0454
Ben ChiarotWPG2826:530:582:0334
Jason GarrisonTBL2520:340:491:1616
Anton StralmanTBL2620:280:471:4015
Victor HedmanTBL2520:020:481:3772
Alex KillornTBL2319:590:521:4224
Blake WheelerWPG2319:520:521:2642
Braydon CoburnTBL2519:190:461:3336
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2218:580:521:2633
Josh MorrisseyWPG2518:520:451:3933
Mark ScheifeleWPG2018:400:561:2741
Adam LowryWPG2518:390:451:3254
Bryan LittleWPG2718:300:411:2753
Andrej SustrTBL2218:220:501:3017
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2317:570:471:3736
Jake DotchinTBL2217:140:471:3971
Nikita KucherovTBL2216:490:461:5632
Patrik LaineWPG2116:430:481:2751
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2116:250:471:2162
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2216:200:451:1032
Ondrej PalatTBL2216:190:451:1152
Shawn MatthiasWPG2215:120:411:1651
Jonathan DrouinTBL1514:360:581:2051
Joel ArmiaWPG2014:290:431:1553
Brian BoyleTBL1614:080:531:3732
Brayden PointTBL1513:150:531:3751
Cedric PaquetteTBL2013:040:391:2616
Gabriel DumontTBL1811:580:401:2615
JT BrownTBL1811:560:401:2614
Paul PostmaWPG1711:190:401:4424
Erik CondraTBL139:400:451:1022
Andrew CoppWPG128:460:441:0511
Nic PetanWPG138:380:401:0630
Drew StaffordWPG127:270:371:0511
Toby EnstromWPG31:220:270:4410