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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 18, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:21Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 0:35Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:12Polak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Soshnikov · OTT Kelly, Borowiecki, Wingels, Wideman, Pageau

  6. P1 3:12Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Soshnikov · OTT Kelly, Borowiecki, Wingels, Wideman, Pageau

  7. P1 3:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson4v4
  8. P1 4:36Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Anderson4v4
  9. P1 4:48Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen4v4
  10. P1 5:23Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 5:34Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 5:44Shot by Polak, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 5:52Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 6:14Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 7:02Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 8:03Gardiner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Hoffman, Ceci

  17. P1 8:06Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen4v5
  18. P1 9:26Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 9:49Shot by Andersen, saved by Anderson4v5
  20. P1 10:13Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 10:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 12:04Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 12:21Pyatt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Leivo, Rielly, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone

  24. P1 13:59Turris: Holding (2 min)6v4

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Leivo, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Wingels

  25. P1 14:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson5v4
  26. P1 14:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson5v4
  27. P1 14:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson5v4
  28. P1 15:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson5v4
  29. P1 15:27Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson5v4
  30. P1 16:36Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  31. P1 17:13Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 17:26Goal by Wideman (Brassard, Stone)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Martin, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Wideman, Stone, Dzingel

  33. P1 17:39Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  34. P1 17:14Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  35. P1 17:46Goal by Dzingel (Methot, Stone)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Smith, Kadri, Rielly, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel

  36. P1 18:14Ryan: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Turris, Hoffman, Ceci

  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 2:13Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 2:28Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 3:00Shot by Kelly, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 4:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 4:22Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 5:01Shot by Methot, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 5:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 6:16Shot by Polak, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 6:37Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 7:26Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 7:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 8:04Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 9:21Shot by Wideman, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 9:29Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Soshnikov · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Wingels, Wideman

  53. P2 9:40Hyman: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Hyman, Rielly, Zaitsev · OTT Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  54. P2 10:24Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen3v5
  55. P2 10:49Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen3v5
  56. P2 11:20Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen3v5
  57. P2 12:13Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  58. P2 13:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 14:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 14:38Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Nylander)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Smith, Karlsson

  61. P2 16:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  62. P2 17:34Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  63. P2 17:47Shot by Leivo, saved by Anderson
  64. P2 17:52Goal by Kadri (Leivo)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Leivo, Rielly, Zaitsev · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci

  65. P2 18:22Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  66. P2 18:48Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 0:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 0:31Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 0:45Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Hoffman, Ceci

  72. P3 1:20Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson5v4
  73. P3 2:04Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Komarov)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci

  74. P3 2:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 4:12Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 4:41Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 5:32Goal by Hoffman (Turris, Karlsson)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  78. P3 5:59Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 6:12Kadri: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Carrick, Soshnikov · OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Wideman, Stone, Dzingel

  80. P3 6:23Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen4v5
  81. P3 6:25Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen4v5
  82. P3 6:26Goal by Brassard (Stone, Karlsson)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Smith, Hyman, Rielly, Zaitsev · OTT Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  83. P3 6:49Shot by Kelly, saved by Andersen
  84. P3 7:45Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  85. P3 7:51Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  86. P3 8:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  87. P3 11:05Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Anderson
  88. P3 14:05Shot by Kelly, saved by Andersen
  89. P3 15:27Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  90. P3 15:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  91. P3 17:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  92. P3 17:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson6v5
  93. P3 18:10Goal by Stone (Turris)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Leivo, Carrick · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Turris, Stone, Ceci

  94. P3 19:15Goal by Brassard (Turris, Stone)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Methot, Brassard, Turris, Karlsson, Stone

  95. P3 0:00Period end
  96. P3 0:00Final