Sat, Feb 18, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
23%
64%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Brassard–Stone–Dzingel | Turris–Smith–Hoffman | Ryan–Turris–Hoffman | Kelly–Pyatt–Pageau | Kelly–Ryan–Wingels | Pyatt–Brassard–Stone | Ryan–Pyatt–Pageau | Brassard–Smith–Stone | Kelly–Ryan–Turris | Pyatt–Wingels–Pageau | Pyatt–Smith–Pageau | Turris–Smith–Dzingel | Neil–Brassard–Stone | Methot–Karlsson | Phaneuf–Ceci | Borowiecki–Ceci | Borowiecki–Wideman | Phaneuf–Wideman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | 2:080.00–0.13 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 1:140.21–0.02 | 1:140.05–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 4:390.32–0.14 | 5:150.10–0.35 | |||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown | 2:120.00–0.09 | 2:280.11–0.06 | 0:560.02–0.00 | 5:230.10–0.10 | 1:180.11–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.12 | 1:270.14–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Leivo | 4:570.86–0.23 | 1:460.00–0.02 | 1:090.15–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.08 | 1:530.41–0.02 | 2:230.43–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 1:350.00–0.13 | |||||||||
| Martin–Smith–Soshnikov | 1:280.06–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.04 | 1:350.10–0.00 | 2:170.05–0.02 | 1:290.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||
| Rielly–Zaitsev | 4:580.78–0.39 | 1:190.11–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.02 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 0:420.15–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:370.13–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 4:370.09–0.23 | 4:110.55–0.09 | 3:550.58–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.19 | 1:240.00–0.03 | |||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 3:550.00–0.22 | 1:370.06–0.04 | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:150.21–0.02 | 0:390.02–0.02 | 7:110.34–0.22 | 4:390.15–0.02 | 1:180.05–0.06 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Polak–Hunwick | 1:110.00–0.13 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 1:180.00–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.02 | 1:250.00–0.03 | 3:220.17–0.02 | 2:360.06–0.20 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 33 | 24:57 | 0:45 | 2:21 | 7 | 4 | |
| 35 | 24:13 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 4 | 6 | |
| 32 | 23:06 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 2 | 7 | |
| 37 | 22:45 | 0:37 | 1:24 | 5 | 9 | |
| 31 | 21:56 | 0:42 | 1:51 | 4 | 4 | |
| 28 | 21:49 | 0:47 | 1:57 | 6 | 2 | |
| 35 | 21:29 | 0:37 | 1:24 | 4 | 9 | |
| 32 | 21:12 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 5 | 4 | |
| 26 | 18:54 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 9 | 2 | |
| 27 | 18:54 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 7 | 2 | |
| 26 | 18:38 | 0:43 | 1:51 | 4 | 4 | |
| 27 | 18:24 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 5 | 5 | |
| 30 | 18:17 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 4 | 6 | |
| 24 | 18:01 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 3 | 2 | |
| 24 | 18:00 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 16:41 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 2 | 3 | |
| 23 | 16:26 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 | |
| 27 | 16:13 | 0:36 | 1:23 | 5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 16:11 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 5 | 4 | |
| 28 | 15:43 | 0:34 | 1:22 | 5 | 3 | |
| 23 | 15:34 | 0:41 | 1:51 | 3 | 2 | |
| 27 | 15:31 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 3 | 5 | |
| 22 | 15:11 | 0:41 | 1:40 | 0 | 4 | |
| 23 | 14:52 | 0:39 | 1:40 | 2 | 3 | |
| 23 | 14:42 | 0:38 | 1:40 | 0 | 4 | |
| 24 | 14:38 | 0:37 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 | |
| 18 | 12:37 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 | |
| 19 | 12:35 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 12:30 | 0:33 | 0:54 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 12:11 | 0:35 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 | |
| 19 | 11:56 | 0:38 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 | |
| 16 | 9:24 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 9:14 | 0:40 | 0:55 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 9:01 | 0:36 | 0:59 | 0 | 4 | |
| 12 | 7:56 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 3:55 | 0:39 | 0:45 | 1 | 0 |