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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 18, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65022+2324:570.2163.6%+60.9
Dion PhaneufD · #20000424:130.1142.7%0.0
Cody CeciD · #50000523:060.1125.8%0.0
Kyle TurrisC · #7033+2321:560.2943.8%+39.8
Marc MethotD · #3011+2121:120.0245.0%+16.0
Mark StoneRW · #61145+4518:381.4137.1%+66.2
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #440000118:170.0147.3%0.0
Zack SmithC · #15000−1116:260.1938.9%0.0
Derick BrassardC · #19213+3215:431.3540.9%+43.6
Mike HoffmanC · #68101+1615:340.6375.9%+33.1
Tom PyattLW · #100000015:310.0132.6%0.0
Chris KellyC · #220000312:370.0731.1%0.0
Chris WidemanD · #6101+1312:350.1771.7%+15.8
Mark BorowieckiD · #74000+1112:300.0837.0%0.0
Bobby RyanRW · #9000−1112:110.0947.9%0.0
Ryan DzingelC · #18101+1311:560.3141.0%+16.0
Tommy WingelsC · #57000009:240.0052.3%0.0
Chris NeilRW · #25000003:550.0046.3%0.0
Craig Anderson#41W37343.9193.63+0.660:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000−2222:450.1365.6%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51000−1121:490.0448.4%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44101−2521:290.2564.4%+18.4
William NylanderRW · #291120218:540.2657.5%+47.3
Auston MatthewsC · #340220418:540.5857.5%+47.3
Leo KomarovRW · #470110318:240.6061.5%+28.8
Connor CarrickD · #8000−1018:010.0059.1%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #12000−3118:000.1143.7%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42000−3316:410.3042.0%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43101−1516:130.5174.9%+22.2
Zach HymanLW · #110000216:110.3345.2%0.0
Matt HunwickD · #20000015:110.0032.6%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #25000−2314:520.2159.0%0.0
Roman PolakD · #460000214:420.0336.9%0.0
Josh LeivoLW · #320110114:380.1077.0%+22.2
Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26000029:140.1048.5%0.0
Ben SmithRW · #18000−109:010.0039.4%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15000−107:560.0022.9%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L40364.9003.970.058:51