Sat, Feb 18, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
23%
64%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:57 | 0.21 | 63.6% | +60.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:13 | 0.11 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:06 | 0.11 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.29 | 43.8% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 45.0% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 5 | 18:38 | 1.41 | 37.1% | +66.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.01 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.19 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 15:43 | 1.35 | 40.9% | +43.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:34 | 0.63 | 75.9% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.01 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:37 | 0.07 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:35 | 0.17 | 71.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.08 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.09 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.31 | 41.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.63 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.13 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:29 | 0.25 | 64.4% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.26 | 57.5% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.58 | 57.5% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.60 | 61.5% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.11 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.30 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:13 | 0.51 | 74.9% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.33 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.21 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.10 | 77.0% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:14 | 0.10 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.97 | 0.0 | 58:51 |