Sat, Feb 25, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
51%
10%
8%
30%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:07 | 0.13 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.02 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.06 | 68.0% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:59 | 0.13 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:25 | 0.63 | 46.2% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.23 | 61.2% | +77.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.15 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.32 | 77.6% | +21.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:42 | 0.32 | 33.5% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.20 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.09 | 65.8% | +54.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.10 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 42.4% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.96 | +1.0 | 61:06 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.08 | 74.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.01 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.06 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.03 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 64.6% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:51 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 17:43 | 1.03 | 64.6% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.01 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.02 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.10 | 75.0% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.21 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.60 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:32 | 0.36 | 57.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.19 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:49 | 0.26 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.41 | −0.6 | 61:06 |