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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 5, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 64% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Kane, saved by Murray
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Kane, saved by Murray
  4. P1 0:48Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray
  5. P1 0:52Shot by Kane, saved by Murray
  6. P1 2:11Shot by Cole, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 2:14Shot by Kessel, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 3:12Kuhnhackl: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Schultz, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Wilson · BUF Gorges, Franson, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  9. P1 6:19Goal by O'Reilly (Gionta, Kane)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Sheary · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen

  10. P1 6:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Murray
  11. P1 7:33Shot by Kunitz, saved by Nilsson
  12. P1 7:34Shot by Kunitz, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 8:17Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 8:47Shot by Kessel, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 10:32Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Nilsson
  16. P1 11:54Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 11:52Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 11:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 12:51Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson
  20. P1 13:33Hagelin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Cole, Hagelin, Ruhwedel · BUF Gorges, Franson, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  21. P1 14:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray4v5
  22. P1 14:32Shot by McCabe, saved by Murray4v5
  23. P1 14:51Shot by Moulson, saved by Murray4v5
  24. P1 14:52Shot by Moulson, saved by Murray4v5
  25. P1 14:53Goal by Gionta (Moulson)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Bonino, Cole, Ruhwedel · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Franson, Ennis, McCabe

  26. P1 15:40Shot by Bailey, saved by Murray
  27. P1 15:48Shot by Sheary, saved by Nilsson
  28. P1 16:23Shot by Malkin, saved by Nilsson
  29. P1 16:40Shot by Gionta, saved by Murray
  30. P1 18:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Murray
  31. P1 18:07Goal by Eichel (Foligno, Reinhart)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Ruhwedel, Guentzel · BUF Gorges, Franson, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  32. P1 18:17Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray
  33. P1 18:35Hagelin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Schultz, Dumoulin · BUF Falk, Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane

  34. P1 18:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Murray4v5
  35. P1 18:52Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray4v5
  36. P1 19:42Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray4v5
  37. P1 19:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Murray4v5
  38. P1 19:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray4v5
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 0:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury4v5
  42. P2 0:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 1:00Shot by Bogosian, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 1:42Deslauriers: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Ruhwedel · BUF Moulson, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  45. P2 2:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson5v4
  46. P2 2:41Shot by Gionta, saved by Fleury5v4
  47. P2 2:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Nilsson5v4
  48. P2 4:41Wilson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hainsey, Crosby, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Wilson · BUF Franson, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  49. P2 5:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury4v5
  50. P2 7:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Nilsson
  51. P2 7:45Goal by Schultz (Kessel, Malkin)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Schultz, Dumoulin · BUF Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Girgensons, Bailey

  52. P2 8:14Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  53. P2 8:27Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Fleury
  54. P2 8:53Shot by Cullen, saved by Nilsson
  55. P2 12:36Shot by Malkin, saved by Nilsson
  56. P2 12:57Falk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Sheary · BUF Falk, Bogosian, Foligno, Reinhart, Eichel

  57. P2 13:05Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Nilsson5v4
  58. P2 13:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Nilsson5v4
  59. P2 13:31Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson5v4
  60. P2 13:42Goal by Malkin (Schultz, Hornqvist)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, Schultz · BUF Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Rodrigues

  61. P2 14:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury
  62. P2 15:22Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  63. P2 15:54Shot by Sheary, saved by Nilsson
  64. P2 16:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nilsson
  65. P2 18:01Shot by Cullen, saved by Nilsson
  66. P2 18:34Eichel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Hornqvist, Schultz, Dumoulin, Sheary · BUF Gorges, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Rodrigues

  67. P2 18:34Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Hornqvist, Schultz, Dumoulin, Sheary · BUF Gorges, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Rodrigues

  68. P2 18:54Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson4v4
  69. P2 18:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson4v4
  70. P2 19:36Shot by Reinhart, saved by Fleury4v4
  71. P2 19:59Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson4v4
  72. P2 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Period start
  74. P3 0:19Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Nilsson4v4
  75. P3 0:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson4v4
  76. P3 0:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 1:21Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nilsson
  78. P3 1:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Nilsson
  79. P3 2:09Shot by Cullen, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 4:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 5:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson
  82. P3 5:06Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  83. P3 5:07Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  84. P3 6:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Fleury
  85. P3 7:39Ennis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Streit, Hainsey, Kunitz, Hornqvist · BUF Gorges, Franson, Ennis, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  86. P3 9:10Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson5v4
  87. P3 9:47Shot by Bonino, saved by Nilsson
  88. P3 10:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury
  89. P3 11:33Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  90. P3 11:38Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  91. P3 11:42Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  92. P3 12:02Shot by Girgensons, saved by Fleury
  93. P3 12:14Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury
  94. P3 12:31Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson
  95. P3 13:27Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  96. P3 13:42Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  97. P3 14:05Kane: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Streit, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Ruhwedel · BUF Gionta, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen

  98. P3 14:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson5v4
  99. P3 15:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Nilsson5v4
  100. P3 15:50Shot by Kessel, saved by Nilsson5v4
  101. P3 16:14Goal by Guentzel (Sheary, Bonino)+40 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Streit, Hainsey, Bonino, Guentzel, Sheary · BUF Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  102. P3 16:37Shot by Cullen, saved by Nilsson
  103. P3 16:46Shot by Sheary, saved by Nilsson
  104. P3 17:04Goal by Sheary (Schultz, Dumoulin)+43 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Sheary · BUF O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  105. P3 17:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury
  106. P3 18:09Schultz: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Hornqvist, Bonino, Schultz, Dumoulin · BUF Gionta, Falk, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane

  107. P3 18:17Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury4v5
  108. P3 19:00Shot by Reinhart, saved by Fleury4v6
  109. P3 19:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Fleury4v6
  110. P3 19:44Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Fleury4v6
  111. P3 19:55Kane: Broken stick (2 min)4v6

    On ice: PIT Hainsey, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin · BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  112. P3 0:00Period end
  113. P3 0:00Final