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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 5, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 64% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gionta–O'Reilly–KaneFoligno–Reinhart–EichelEnnis–Deslauriers–GirgensonsMoulson–Bailey–RodriguesFoligno–Girgensons–BaileyGionta–Moulson–O'ReillyMcCabe–RistolainenFalk–BogosianGorges–FransonFranson–BogosianGorges–Ristolainen
Malkin–Kessel–Hagelin1:050.00–0.000:560.00–0.010:520.04–0.001:500.03–0.040:500.24–0.002:250.05–0.041:300.28–0.003:430.03–0.03
Crosby–Guentzel–Sheary1:340.07–0.071:140.08–0.031:160.41–0.002:400.61–0.071:320.02–0.000:450.00–0.23
Malkin–Hornqvist–Hagelin0:450.10–0.000:340.00–0.000:470.10–0.001:490.08–0.121:010.00–0.01
Kunitz–Crosby–Sheary2:170.04–0.360:560.52–0.001:490.00–0.250:560.52–0.000:420.04–0.11
Cullen–Kuhnhackl–Wilson0:590.02–0.041:140.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:180.00–0.001:100.02–0.00
Cullen–Kunitz–Hornqvist1:070.09–0.000:390.12–0.000:300.05–0.001:460.16–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kessel–Bonino–Guentzel0:430.00–0.360:430.00–0.001:000.26–0.001:190.00–0.000:430.00–0.36
Kunitz–Crosby–Guentzel0:410.00–0.001:020.00–0.16
Cullen–Hornqvist–Sheary0:510.05–0.001:250.05–0.00
Streit–Hainsey2:420.09–0.083:380.19–0.111:250.12–0.000:560.52–0.001:010.00–0.004:360.17–0.282:550.91–0.175:280.61–0.20
Schultz–Dumoulin3:580.04–0.411:150.00–0.003:030.32–0.000:300.05–0.000:400.13–0.004:290.49–0.304:310.17–0.061:070.00–0.000:530.04–0.11
Cole–Ruhwedel1:340.10–0.002:140.07–0.400:540.12–0.002:230.03–0.044:070.27–0.040:550.00–0.003:190.05–0.36
Streit–Schultz0:500.00–0.141:420.08–0.17
Cole–Schultz0:480.00–0.23
Hainsey–Dumoulin0:340.00–0.04
Hainsey–Cole0:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKunitz FSheary FCrosby FHagelin FMalkin FHornqvist FBonino FGuentzel FKessel FCullen FWilson FKuhnhackl FSchultz DDumoulin DStreit DHainsey DRuhwedel DCole DMurray GFleury GKane FGionta FO'Reilly FEichel FReinhart FFoligno FMoulson FBailey FRodrigues FGirgensons FDeslauriers FEnnis FMcCabe DRistolainen DGorges DFranson DFalk DBogosian DNilsson G
PITBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2929:501:023:1198
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2725:320:572:0266
Ron HainseyPIT2723:220:521:5144
Evander KaneBUF2523:160:561:5962
Jake McCabeBUF2822:350:482:5847
Justin SchultzPIT2621:510:501:5594
Evgeni MalkinPIT2220:370:562:1071
Mark StreitPIT2420:290:511:3832
Sidney CrosbyPIT2419:590:502:1664
Phil KesselPIT2119:380:562:0071
Jack EichelBUF2319:200:501:4662
Brian DumoulinPIT2618:530:441:4275
Sam ReinhartBUF2318:210:481:4665
Josh GorgesBUF2617:250:402:0025
Ian ColePIT2117:140:491:3134
Brian GiontaBUF2316:510:441:2564
Matt CullenPIT2616:110:371:0275
Marcus FolignoBUF2216:090:441:1837
Carl HagelinPIT2315:580:421:1034
Zach BogosianBUF2215:480:431:3033
Cody FransonBUF2115:390:452:0130
Patric HornqvistPIT2115:280:442:1351
Conor ShearyPIT2014:550:451:1732
Chris KunitzPIT2214:540:411:1453
Jake GuentzelPIT2014:260:431:3332
Chad RuhwedelPIT1812:250:411:1713
Justin FalkBUF2011:540:360:5423
Evan RodriguesBUF1411:380:501:3611
Tyler EnnisBUF1310:580:511:3541
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1710:570:391:3732
Matt MoulsonBUF139:580:461:0931
Nick BoninoPIT148:550:381:0325
Tom KuhnhacklPIT148:490:381:0834
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF108:050:491:5121
Justin BaileyBUF107:470:471:2110
Scott WilsonPIT75:010:431:1421