Sun, Mar 5, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 64% of the time.
56%
30%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29:50 | 0.17 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:32 | 0.50 | 36.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 11 | 23:16 | 0.80 | 48.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.04 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19:20 | 0.85 | 63.0% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.17 | 61.7% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.59 | 55.1% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.04 | 52.1% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.03 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.03 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.01 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.07 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.11 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:58 | 0.45 | 29.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.14 | 8.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 45 | 41 | 4 | .911 | 4.92 | +0.9 | 59:07 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:22 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.16 | 59.4% | +70.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:37 | 0.32 | 58.0% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:29 | 0.31 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19:59 | 0.82 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.45 | 66.9% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 58.6% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.02 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.31 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.47 | 76.2% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:55 | 0.22 | 60.4% | +83.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.57 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:26 | 1.22 | 64.2% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.01 | 50.0% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:01 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 28 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.88 | +1.9 | 39:44 | |
| – | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.11 | −0.9 | 20:00 |