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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:01Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:38Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:09Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 6:01Shot by Dahlbeck, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:35Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 8:59Goal by Rask (Lindholm, Pesce)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  12. P1 9:26Shot by Bozak, saved by Ward
  13. P1 9:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  14. P1 9:52Goal by Marner (Bozak, van Riemsdyk)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McClement, Nordstrom, Dahlbeck, Murphy, Brown · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  15. P1 10:44Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 11:25Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  17. P1 12:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  18. P1 12:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Ward
  19. P1 9:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  20. P1 18:23Shot by Boyle, saved by Ward
  21. P1 18:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 19:01Zaitsev: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Slavin, Lindholm · TOR Gardiner, Martin, Bozak, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  23. P1 19:17Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:45Goal by Teravainen (Staal, Faulk)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Lindholm, Aho · TOR Polak, Rielly, Brown, Soshnikov

  27. P2 1:46Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Ward
  29. P2 3:50Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 4:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 4:23Ward: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Zaitsev

  32. P2 5:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Ward4v5
  33. P2 6:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward
  34. P2 7:37Goal by van Riemsdyk, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Faulk, Skinner, Dahlbeck, Rask, Lindholm · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  35. P2 8:55Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 10:39Shot by Martin, saved by Ward
  37. P2 11:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  38. P2 12:40Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 13:19Shot by Dahlbeck, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 15:27Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 16:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 16:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 17:54Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 18:29Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 19:16Shot by Dahlbeck, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 19:58Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:40Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 0:42Marincin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skinner, Teravainen, Pesce, Hanifin · TOR Gardiner, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  51. P3 1:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen5v4
  52. P3 2:13Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen5v4
  53. P3 3:26Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 3:40Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ward
  55. P3 5:10Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 6:17Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Ward
  57. P3 6:23Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ward
  58. P3 7:01Shot by Marner, saved by Ward
  59. P3 8:19Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  60. P3 8:28Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 11:27Nordstrom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stempniak, Nordstrom, Dahlbeck, Slavin, Ryan · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Nylander

  62. P3 12:00Shot by Marner, saved by Ward4v5
  63. P3 12:06Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ward4v5
  64. P3 13:08Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ward4v5
  65. P3 14:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 15:47Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 15:50Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 16:40Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 17:05Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ward
  70. P3 18:53Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 19:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Ward
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:20Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen3v3
  75. OT 2:13Goal by Rielly (Nylander, Gardiner)3v3+54 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Rask, Teravainen, Hanifin · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  76. OT 2:13Period end
  77. OT 2:13Final