Sat, Mar 11, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.
51%
10%
9%
30%
CAR winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | Komarov–Kadri–Brown | Boyle–Martin–Soshnikov | Hyman–Brown–Matthews | Komarov–Kadri–Nylander | Kadri–Nylander–Matthews | Rielly–Zaitsev | Polak–Hunwick | Gardiner–Marincin | Polak–Gardiner | Hunwick–Gardiner | Gardiner–Rielly | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Polak–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Rask–Lindholm | 3:300.22–0.13 | 2:000.11–0.00 | 1:230.07–0.00 | 2:290.02–0.06 | 1:250.02–0.02 | 3:410.26–0.00 | 1:570.09–0.00 | 3:110.24–0.13 | 1:490.06–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.06 | |||||
| Staal–Teravainen–Aho | 2:060.04–0.08 | 2:420.02–0.06 | 2:590.35–0.10 | 2:160.01–0.12 | 0:300.04–0.00 | 0:310.05–0.06 | 7:160.25–0.18 | 2:040.04–0.08 | 1:320.19–0.09 | ||||||
| Stempniak–Nordstrom–Ryan | 2:460.03–0.10 | 2:220.18–0.00 | 2:560.02–0.19 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:270.00–0.03 | 3:100.20–0.29 | 0:570.04–0.00 | 1:050.03–0.06 | |||||
| McClement–Nordstrom–Brown | 1:000.00–0.31 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.31 | ||||||||||||
| Stempniak–Skinner–Rask | 0:440.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Faulk–Slavin | 0:390.01–0.00 | 3:580.02–0.05 | 1:160.16–0.09 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.05 | 2:310.03–0.05 | 1:120.01–0.00 | 3:090.18–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Slavin–Pesce | 1:380.00–0.00 | 3:210.28–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.10 | 0:420.02–0.02 | 0:310.05–0.06 | 2:010.03–0.10 | 3:230.22–0.00 | 1:410.13–0.02 | |||||||
| Faulk–Hanifin | 2:220.17–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 2:030.12–0.00 | 2:590.02–0.03 | 1:220.14–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | ||||
| Pesce–Hanifin | 2:350.08–0.04 | 2:040.08–0.19 | 0:590.02–0.07 | 2:160.17–0.12 | 2:480.09–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.19 | 0:440.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlbeck–Slavin | 1:300.00–0.12 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.08 | 1:130.13–0.09 | 0:510.05–0.00 | 1:050.08–0.06 | ||||||
| Dahlbeck–Murphy | 1:210.04–0.32 | 0:580.11–0.00 | 1:420.01–0.06 | 1:300.14–0.04 | 1:270.01–0.00 | 1:130.13–0.32 | |||||||||
| Faulk–Dahlbeck | 1:120.00–0.18 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 1:480.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Faulk–Pesce | 0:520.02–0.00 | 1:130.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 27 | 29:47 | 1:06 | 3:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 27 | 26:14 | 0:58 | 2:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 28 | 22:59 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 21:55 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 33 | 21:51 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 0 | 7 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 24 | 21:46 | 0:54 | 2:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 29 | 21:25 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 9 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 28 | 21:14 | 0:46 | 1:55 | 8 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 33 | 21:06 | 0:38 | 1:21 | 3 | 7 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 25 | 20:41 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 2 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 19:38 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 27 | 19:36 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 29 | 19:19 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 29 | 18:25 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 7 | 3 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 25 | 18:22 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 25 | 17:45 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Lee StempniakCAR | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 24 | 17:31 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 24 | 17:07 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 6 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 17:06 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 5 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 20 | 17:05 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Derek RyanCAR | 22 | 16:59 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 16:14 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 15:38 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 25 | 15:18 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 0 | 5 |
 Klas DahlbeckCAR | 19 | 15:05 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 22 | 14:50 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 22 | 14:50 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 19 | 12:17 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 16 | 12:12 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Brian BoyleTOR | 15 | 12:03 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 0 | 3 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 12 | 9:43 | 0:49 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan MurphyCAR | 9 | 7:38 | 0:51 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 10 | 7:13 | 0:43 | 0:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick BrownCAR | 7 | 6:30 | 0:56 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Valentin ZykovCAR | 1 | 0:37 | 0:37 | 0:37 | 0 | 0 |