Sat, Mar 11, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.
51%
10%
9%
30%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.04 | 42.4% | +54.3 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:51 | 0.18 | 41.3% | +54.3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:06 | 0.09 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.09 | 15.7% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.39 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 13.8% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.02 | 14.1% | +54.3 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.13 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.34 | 65.0% | +16.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.32 | 63.0% | +16.2 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 14:50 | 0.26 | 70.4% | +40.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.06 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.13 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.05 | 68.4% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.71 | +0.7 | 62:13 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:47 | 0.06 | 64.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin FaulkD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:14 | 0.07 | 58.3% | +20.1 |
 Brett PesceD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:46 | 0.05 | 65.1% | +16.0 |
 Victor RaskC · #49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.19 | 69.4% | +16.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.67 | 83.4% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:41 | 0.19 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.21 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.28 | 62.1% | +20.1 |
 Elias LindholmC · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:25 | 0.27 | 77.9% | +16.0 |
 Teuvo TeravainenC · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.18 | 49.9% | +20.1 |
 Lee StempniakRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.23 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.16 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Klas DahlbeckD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.12 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.02 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan MurphyD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Jay McClementC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:13 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Patrick BrownC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:30 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
 Valentin ZykovLW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Cam Ward#30 | O | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.12 | −0.9 | 62:13 |