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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver

Ottawa Senators 4, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 2:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 2:34Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 3:50Shot by Barberio, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:12Shot by Claesson, saved by Pickard
  9. P1 6:17Shot by Hoffman, saved by Pickard
  10. P1 6:22Shot by Pyatt, saved by Pickard
  11. P1 7:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 9:38Goal by Nieto (Goloubef, Comeau)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Goloubef, Nieto · OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Varone, Dzingel, Ceci

  13. P1 11:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Anderson6v5
  14. P1 11:24Shot by Colborne, saved by Anderson6v5
  15. P1 11:27DiDomenico: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Soderberg, Colborne, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon · OTT Burrows, Brassard, DiDomenico, Claesson, Ceci

  16. P1 12:14Shot by Landeskog, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 14:24Shot by Landeskog, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 15:11Shot by Colborne, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 15:40Stalberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Colborne, Barrie, Andrighetto, Compher · OTT Burrows, Stalberg, Brassard, Karlsson, Claesson

  20. P1 16:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Anderson5v4
  21. P1 16:09Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson5v4
  22. P1 17:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard5v4
  23. P1 18:16Tyutin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Comeau, Nieto, MacKinnon · OTT Burrows, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Claesson

  24. P1 19:04Shot by Brassard, saved by Pickard4v5
  25. P1 19:52Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 6:02Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 6:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 7:26Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 8:31Shot by Stalberg, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 9:34Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  33. P2 9:35Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard
  34. P2 9:44Shot by Comeau, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 9:57Shot by Comeau, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 10:19Shot by Kelly, saved by Pickard
  37. P2 10:41Goal by Claesson (Pageau, Pyatt)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Colborne, Barberio, Duchene · OTT Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Claesson, Pageau

  38. P2 11:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 12:19Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  40. P2 12:14Shot by Dzingel, saved by Pickard
  41. P2 14:41Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  42. P2 15:08Bourque: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Bourque, Goloubef, Landeskog, MacKinnon · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Dzingel

  43. P2 15:35Goal by Burrows (Hoffman, Karlsson)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Comeau, Johnson, Duchene · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman

  44. P2 17:48Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  45. P2 17:48Shot by Brassard, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 18:54Goal by Hoffman (Kelly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Bourque, Johnson, Duchene, Barrie · OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Wingels, Hoffman, Ceci

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:21Shot by Comeau, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 3:41Shot by Hoffman, saved by Pickard
  51. P3 3:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Pickard
  52. P3 7:34Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Barberio, Duchene, Andrighetto, Compher · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau

  53. P3 11:22Goal by Dzingel (Brassard, Burrows)+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Barberio, Duchene, Barrie · OTT Burrows, Methot, Brassard, Karlsson, Dzingel

  54. P3 13:03Bourque: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Johnson, Barberio, Andrighetto, Compher · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, DiDomenico, Wideman

  55. P3 13:36Beauchemin: Boarding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Comeau, Goloubef · OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman

  56. P3 14:02Shot by Hoffman, saved by Pickard3v5
  57. P3 14:30Smith: Hooking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: COL Comeau, Johnson, MacKinnon · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman

  58. P3 15:01Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard3v4
  59. P3 15:35Landeskog: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Barrie, Nieto, Landeskog · OTT Phaneuf, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  60. P3 15:35Dzingel: Fighting (5 min)3v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Barrie, Nieto, Landeskog · OTT Phaneuf, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  61. P3 15:48Shot by Pyatt, saved by Pickard5v4
  62. P3 18:22Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tyutin, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · OTT Phaneuf, Hoffman, Wideman, Varone, Pageau

  63. P3 19:48Goal by Andrighetto (Colborne, Soderberg)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Colborne, Barberio, Barrie, Andrighetto · OTT Stalberg, Karlsson, Wingels, Claesson

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final