Sat, Mar 11, 2017·Pepsi Center, Denver
Ottawa Senators 4, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
21%
11%
9%
59%
COL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:52 | 0.02 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.02 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 23:09 | 0.10 | 90.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.73 | 82.6% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.21 | 38.5% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.27 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.07 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.10 | 60.7% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.16 | 76.1% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 48.5% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.15 | 98.5% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.29 | 81.0% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.03 | 60.7% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.06 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13:17 | 0.27 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:17 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 1.54 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:33 | 0.22 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.01 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:31 | 0.01 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.16 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.14 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.24 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.08 | 32.9% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.20 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.08 | 39.4% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.25 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.03 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.02 | 13.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.07 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.47 | −1.5 | 59:26 |