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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 16, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Marchenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 4:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 4:30Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 6:09Palat: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Palat, Kucherov, Point · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  6. P1 6:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen4v5
  7. P1 7:54Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  8. P1 8:01Shot by McKegg, saved by Andersen4v5
  9. P1 9:19Goal by Polak (Bozak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Drouin · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  10. P1 9:50Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 9:58Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 14:46Shot by Garrison, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 15:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 18:26Shot by Froese, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P2 2:04Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P2 2:24Goal by Rielly (Kadri, Marchenko)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marchenko, Rielly, Brown

  20. P2 2:39Goal by Martin (Hunwick, Soshnikov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Drouin · TOR Boyle, Polak, Hunwick, Martin, Soshnikov

  21. P2 2:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P2 4:10Shot by Dotchin, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 4:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 4:51Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 5:02Witkowski: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Froese, Dotchin, Erne · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Brown

  26. P2 6:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P2 6:11Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P2 6:14Goal by Brown (Komarov, Nylander)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  29. P2 7:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 7:41Boyle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · TOR Boyle, Polak, Martin, Rielly, Soshnikov

  31. P2 8:07Shot by Point, saved by Andersen5v4
  32. P2 8:58Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen5v4
  33. P2 9:45Shot by Dotchin, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 11:10Shot by Sustr, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 11:30Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 11:41Shot by Marner, saved by Budaj
  37. P2 12:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Budaj
  38. P2 15:41Goal by van Riemsdyk (Rielly, Marner)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Witkowski, Froese, Erne · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  39. P2 16:07Shot by Brown, saved by Budaj
  40. P2 17:01Shot by Sustr, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 17:19Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 17:46Shot by Dotchin, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 17:47Zaitsev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · TOR Boyle, Gardiner, Martin, Soshnikov, Zaitsev

  44. P2 18:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen5v4
  45. P2 18:37Hunwick: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Brown, Soshnikov

  46. P2 19:01Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen5v3
  47. P2 19:53Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen5v4
  48. P2 19:58Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:17Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen5v4
  52. P3 0:35Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen5v4
  53. P3 3:00Komarov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marchenko, Rielly, Brown

  54. P3 3:34Shot by Point, saved by Andersen5v4
  55. P3 3:44Shot by Point, saved by Andersen5v4
  56. P3 5:49Shot by Dotchin, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 5:49Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Froese, Gourde, Dotchin · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Marner

  58. P3 5:49Kadri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Froese, Gourde, Dotchin · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Marner

  59. P3 5:49Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Froese, Gourde, Dotchin · TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Marchenko, Marner

  60. P3 7:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen5v4
  61. P3 8:48Shot by Marchenko, saved by Budaj
  62. P3 9:06Shot by Witkowski, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:31Shot by Garrison, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 10:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 12:32Shot by Marner, saved by Budaj
  66. P3 17:18Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 17:23Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 17:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 18:39van Riemsdyk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Witkowski, Froese, Erne · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  70. P3 18:39Witkowski: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Witkowski, Froese, Erne · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Marner

  71. P3 19:13Hedman: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · TOR Hunwick, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final