Thu, Mar 16, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
19%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | Komarov–Kadri–Brown | Boyle–Martin–Soshnikov | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Polak–Hunwick | Polak–Rielly | Marchenko–Rielly | Gardiner–Marchenko | Hunwick–Zaitsev | Hunwick–Rielly | Hunwick–Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 2:480.21–0.17 | 1:010.04–0.00 | 4:470.01–0.04 | 1:070.00–0.12 | 4:380.04–0.06 | 0:360.10–0.00 | 3:100.02–0.27 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:480.12–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||
| Killorn–Gourde–Drouin | 2:120.34–0.00 | 2:430.18–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.11 | 1:170.02–0.02 | 2:330.28–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:590.13–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.10–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | |
| Dumont–McKegg–Brown | 2:400.03–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.08 | 0:580.03–0.00 | ||||
| Killorn–Froese–Gourde | 0:580.10–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:390.10–0.15 | 0:410.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Dumont–Erne–Drouin | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Dotchin | 2:040.00–0.00 | 1:140.04–0.00 | 5:140.13–0.12 | 1:250.00–0.14 | 4:150.06–0.00 | 2:290.11–0.11 | 2:240.00–0.14 | 0:510.00–0.01 | ||||
| Stralman–Garrison | 4:490.30–0.17 | 1:060.18–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 5:000.24–0.06 | 1:300.08–0.00 | 1:160.02–0.15 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.12–0.00 | 0:300.03–0.00 | ||
| Coburn–Sustr | 2:410.24–0.05 | 2:340.00–0.18 | 1:510.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.15 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.08 | 0:570.14–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:000.10–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Roman PolakTOR | 30 | 23:39 | 0:47 | 2:13 | 1 | 8 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 22:15 | 0:56 | 2:15 | 7 | 2 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 26 | 21:32 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 0 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 21:27 | 1:01 | 2:24 | 8 | 0 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 20:58 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 2 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 20:36 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 20:13 | 0:58 | 2:13 | 8 | 0 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 20:13 | 0:58 | 2:13 | 8 | 0 |
 Jake DotchinTBL | 24 | 19:13 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 5 | 2 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 26 | 18:43 | 0:43 | 2:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 21 | 18:36 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 22 | 18:21 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 21 | 17:40 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 21 | 17:13 | 0:49 | 2:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 25 | 17:01 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 20 | 16:24 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 25 | 16:20 | 0:39 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 23 | 16:13 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 19 | 16:03 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Byron FroeseTBL | 20 | 15:51 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 15:51 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Brian BoyleTOR | 24 | 15:34 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 0 | 8 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 20 | 15:27 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 20 | 13:14 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 22 | 13:10 | 0:36 | 1:37 | 0 | 5 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 20 | 13:07 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 19 | 13:01 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 19 | 12:43 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Alexey MarchenkoTOR | 17 | 11:42 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 17 | 11:36 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke WitkowskiTBL | 18 | 11:30 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 18 | 10:38 | 0:35 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Greg McKeggTBL | 17 | 10:01 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Gabriel DumontTBL | 15 | 9:51 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 5 |