Thu, Mar 16, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
19%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.03 | 77.1% | +14.1 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.00 | 51.4% | +10.5 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 20:58 | 0.04 | 63.2% | +18.1 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.06 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.02 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 54.0% | +4.9 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.63 | 65.4% | +4.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.18 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:37 | 0.15 | 28.2% | +4.9 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.21 | 51.0% | +1.2 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.03 | 45.2% | +10.5 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.15 | 57.5% | +1.2 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.28 | 64.4% | +16.9 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 49.4% | +14.1 |
 Alexey MarchenkoD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.10 | 38.5% | +16.9 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.07 | 42.0% | +10.5 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 33 | 33 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.23 | +3.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.01 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:27 | 0.38 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.74 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.29 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake DotchinD · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.15 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.08 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:21 | 0.49 | 71.2% | 0.0 |
 Jason GarrisonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.09 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan DrouinLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:13 | 0.29 | 78.6% | 0.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.09 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SustrD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.10 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Byron FroeseC · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.03 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.12 | 71.2% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.12 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 JT BrownRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke WitkowskiD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.19 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Greg McKeggC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.05 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Gabriel DumontC · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Peter Budaj#31 | – | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 0.64 | −0.4 | 33:46 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.30 | −2.7 | 26:14 |