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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Washington Capitals 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Washington Capitals

5

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Drouin, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Palat, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 2:33Witkowski: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · WSH Winnik, Niskanen, Beagle, Orlov, Wilson

  5. P1 2:55Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 3:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  7. P1 3:44Goal by Oshie (Johansson, Backstrom)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, McKegg, Palat · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Shattenkirk, Johansson

  8. P1 5:54Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 7:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 3:10Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  11. P1 9:27Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 11:08Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  13. P1 11:52Goal by Oshie (Ovechkin, Backstrom)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov

  14. P1 13:35Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 15:24Oshie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson

  16. P1 15:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby5v4
  17. P1 15:52Goal by Kucherov (Palat, Point)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · WSH Alzner, Eller, Carlson, Wilson

  18. P1 16:08Goal by Killorn (Drouin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Drouin · WSH Williams, Winnik, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov

  19. P1 16:50Shot by Point, saved by Holtby
  20. P1 18:32Shot by Garrison, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 18:37Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  22. P1 18:37McKegg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson, Wilson

  23. P1 18:37Wilson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson, Wilson

  24. P1 18:37Carlson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson, Wilson

  25. P1 18:37Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Witkowski, McKegg, Brown, Sustr · WSH Winnik, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson, Wilson

  26. P1 19:03Shot by Niskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 19:40Shot by Alzner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 2:05Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 3:28Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 4:09Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 5:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 6:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 6:50Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 6:57Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 6:59Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 11:17Shot by Coburn, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 11:51Shot by Eller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 12:43Shot by Backstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 14:12Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 14:43Shot by Point, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 14:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Holtby
  45. P2 15:39Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 16:23Shot by Winnik, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 16:56Shot by Froese, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 16:57Shot by Dumont, saved by Holtby
  49. P2 18:24Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 18:41Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:01Drouin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Drouin · WSH Williams, Niskanen, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky

  54. P3 1:07Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  55. P3 1:43Shot by Oshie, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P3 3:14Goal by Williams (Niskanen, Burakovsky)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Palat, Drouin, Point · WSH Williams, Niskanen, Eller, Carlson, Burakovsky

  57. P3 4:58Shot by Connolly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 5:30Goal by Carlson (Oshie, Backstrom)5v6+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Gourde, Drouin · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  59. P3 5:42Shot by Sustr, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 6:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 6:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby
  62. P3 6:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 7:39Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 8:18Shot by Niskanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 8:43Shot by Brown, saved by Holtby
  66. P3 10:06Shot by Coburn, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 11:42Shot by Dumont, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 11:49Shot by Gourde, saved by Holtby
  69. P3 11:59Shot by Erne, saved by Holtby
  70. P3 13:04Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 13:05Shot by Williams, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 13:29Shot by Kucherov, saved by Holtby
  73. P3 18:30Goal by Kucherov (Point)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Alzner, Beagle, Carlson

  74. P3 18:41Shot by Stralman, saved by Holtby6v5
  75. P3 18:42Shot by Point, saved by Holtby6v5
  76. P3 19:16Goal by Oshie (Backstrom)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Drouin, Point · WSH Orpik, Oshie, Niskanen, Backstrom, Beagle

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final