Sat, Mar 18, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Washington Capitals 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
9%
51%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:02 | 0.02 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.09 | 43.0% | +18.3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.93 | 44.2% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 21:07 | 0.43 | 49.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 46.5% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.12 | 61.7% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.13 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.02 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.10 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.18 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 15:12 | 0.31 | 57.5% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.08 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.07 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.01 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 31.7% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.12 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | +13.3 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.18 | −0.8 | 59:44 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.01 | 52.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:09 | 0.18 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.22 | 50.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:12 | 0.16 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 22:11 | 0.47 | 50.5% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.06 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.14 | 52.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.18 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.03 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.14 | 55.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.05 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.04 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.35 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:05 | 0.12 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:19 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0:22 | |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.07 | −1.9 | 58:03 |