Sat, Mar 18, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Washington Capitals 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
9%
51%
TBL winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom | Winnik–Beagle–Wilson | Eller–Connolly–Burakovsky | Williams–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky | Williams–Winnik–Kuznetsov | Williams–Kuznetsov–Connolly | Williams–Johansson–Kuznetsov | Winnik–Eller–Burakovsky | Winnik–Eller–Wilson | Kuznetsov–Connolly–Burakovsky | Eller–Kuznetsov–Connolly | Alzner–Carlson | Niskanen–Orlov | Orpik–Shattenkirk | Niskanen–Alzner | Shattenkirk–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 12:050.40–0.41 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 0:440.04–0.05 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 8:530.44–0.20 | 3:380.08–0.13 | 3:210.04–0.08 | 2:040.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Killorn–Gourde–Drouin | 1:420.04–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:580.10–0.02 | 0:580.09–0.00 | 1:410.05–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 3:370.05–0.10 | 6:170.23–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Dumont–Froese–Erne | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 2:560.05–0.19 | 1:330.36–0.11 | 0:470.02–0.08 | 2:120.00–0.11 | 5:220.40–0.11 | |||||||||
| Froese–Kucherov–Erne | 0:410.00–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Palat–Drouin–Point | ||||||||||||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 8:000.32–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 5:000.18–0.02 | 3:380.09–0.03 | 1:330.11–0.02 | 1:290.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Hedman–Dotchin | 5:470.23–0.27 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 3:090.25–0.09 | 2:310.04–0.09 | 2:360.00–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Coburn–Sustr | 1:200.00–0.00 | 2:090.03–0.17 | 1:100.36–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:170.02–0.09 | 2:510.00–0.06 | 2:530.38–0.17 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Garrison–Dotchin | 0:550.00–0.03 | 0:550.00–0.09 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 1:420.00–0.11 | 0:500.10–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.11 | 2:270.07–0.14 | 2:160.08–0.03 | |||||||
| Stralman–Garrison | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:370.05–0.08 | 1:200.09–0.00 | 1:400.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Dotchin | 1:020.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||
| Coburn–Stralman | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 27 | 26:16 | 0:58 | 2:07 | 8 | 6 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 25:09 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 7 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 27 | 23:59 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 8 | 5 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 28 | 22:12 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 7 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 26 | 22:11 | 0:51 | 2:07 | 8 | 5 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 28 | 22:02 | 0:47 | 2:26 | 4 | 5 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 28 | 21:49 | 0:47 | 2:17 | 4 | 5 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 25 | 21:26 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 7 | 8 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 24 | 21:07 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 6 | 8 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 25 | 21:05 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 7 | 8 |
 Matt NiskanenWSH | 27 | 19:59 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Jake DotchinTBL | 24 | 19:40 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 5 | 5 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 22 | 19:22 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 0 | 4 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkWSH | 21 | 18:16 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 23 | 18:05 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 23 | 17:19 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 1 | 4 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 21 | 17:12 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Daniel WinnikWSH | 22 | 16:47 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 21 | 16:29 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 24 | 15:53 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 15:17 | 0:42 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Andre BurakovskyWSH | 18 | 15:12 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 18 | 15:02 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 14:44 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 21 | 14:18 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 1 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 20 | 13:29 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Justin WilliamsWSH | 18 | 12:29 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Brett ConnollyWSH | 16 | 12:08 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Byron FroeseTBL | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 17 | 11:19 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Gabriel DumontTBL | 17 | 10:58 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 JT BrownTBL | 15 | 9:05 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 2 | 2 |
 Greg McKeggTBL | 12 | 8:44 | 0:44 | 2:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Luke WitkowskiTBL | 13 | 7:19 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 5 | 2:53 | 0:35 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |