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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 20, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:49Shot by Russo, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 3:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 4:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 6:50Eichel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Gorges, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel

  6. P1 9:03Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 10:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 10:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 10:26Shot by Austin, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 10:30Green: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Mantha · BUF Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane, Austin, Eichel

  11. P1 10:59Goal by Eichel (O'Reilly, Ristolainen)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser · BUF O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  12. P1 11:25Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 13:39Shot by Austin, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 15:08Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 16:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 16:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 17:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 18:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 19:28Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 19:31Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 19:59Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:37Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  25. P2 1:04Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 3:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 3:33Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 6:07Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 6:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 6:38Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 6:57Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 8:42Tatar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, DeKeyser · BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, McCabe, Eichel, Nelson

  33. P2 8:59Goal by Moulson (Ennis, McCabe)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Miller, Russo · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, McCabe, Rodrigues

  34. P2 9:11Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 9:28Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 9:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 9:38McCabe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Tatar, Jensen, Ouellet · BUF Foligno, McCabe, Fasching, Rodrigues, Nelson

  38. P2 10:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lehner5v4
  39. P2 12:20Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 12:53Goal by Tatar (Green, Zetterberg)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar · BUF O'Reilly, McCabe, Bailey, Ristolainen, Eichel

  41. P2 13:36Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 13:51Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 17:41Shot by Foligno, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 18:39Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 18:51Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:19Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 2:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 2:57Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner
  51. P3 3:06Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 3:07Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 3:45Gorges: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser · BUF Gorges, Ennis, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel

  54. P3 4:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner5v4
  55. P3 4:30Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehner5v4
  56. P3 4:45Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner5v4
  57. P3 6:51Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 7:22Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 7:37Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 8:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 8:35Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 9:13Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 9:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Mrazek
  64. P3 10:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 10:59Shot by Austin, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 11:41Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 12:03Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 13:24Shot by Nosek, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 13:25Austin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Mantha, Nosek · BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Austin, Fasching, Eichel

  70. P3 13:26Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner5v4
  71. P3 14:40Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek5v4
  72. P3 15:19Shot by Green, saved by Lehner5v4
  73. P3 16:33Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 16:39Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 17:51Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 19:57Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final