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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 20, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ennis–O'Reilly–EichelFoligno–Fasching–RodriguesGionta–Kane–GirgensonsMoulson–Bailey–ReinhartKane–Girgensons–ReinhartKane–Bailey–ReinhartO'Reilly–Bailey–EichelGorges–RistolainenBogosian–AustinMcCabe–NelsonMcCabe–RistolainenBogosian–McCabeGorges–NelsonAustin–Ristolainen
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Tatar4:130.15–0.041:460.04–0.032:480.05–0.100:560.21–0.007:550.22–0.151:030.00–0.021:260.00–0.001:200.27–0.03
Abdelkader–Athanasiou–Larkin3:560.09–0.211:180.00–0.111:560.00–0.202:230.09–0.121:050.00–0.00
Glendening–Athanasiou–Larkin1:200.00–0.091:460.00–0.150:330.00–0.000:400.07–0.001:300.02–0.002:590.08–0.24
Miller–Glendening–Nosek2:340.02–0.011:470.00–0.010:330.10–0.00
Nielsen–Sheahan–Mantha1:490.00–0.100:410.00–0.211:170.00–0.101:400.54–0.21
Nielsen–Abdelkader–Sheahan0:570.00–0.130:490.00–0.100:460.00–0.040:320.00–0.00
Miller–Mantha–Nosek1:090.32–0.000:490.00–0.000:390.22–0.001:170.00–0.00
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Tatar1:390.10–0.071:020.10–0.070:520.17–0.00
Glendening–Mantha–Nosek
Nielsen–Nyquist–Sheahan0:310.14–0.000:330.14–0.00
Green–DeKeyser10:420.34–0.606:510.27–0.244:030.22–0.362:000.00–0.000:390.00–0.03
Russo–Ouellet3:330.24–0.170:590.10–0.022:100.00–0.082:450.01–0.132:580.24–0.212:290.09–0.03
Jensen–Ouellet0:380.00–0.012:110.26–0.001:110.54–0.001:050.01–0.001:390.11–0.001:490.01–0.012:520.73–0.00
Kronwall–Jensen1:360.00–0.173:040.19–0.100:400.07–0.001:130.00–0.122:130.26–0.151:170.00–0.00
Kronwall–Russo0:500.04–0.131:280.00–0.111:480.14–0.200:360.00–0.211:260.04–0.311:050.00–0.132:010.14–0.21
Kronwall–Green0:370.00–0.001:320.06–0.000:380.19–0.002:090.04–0.000:470.02–0.000:420.19–0.00
Jensen–DeKeyser1:480.00–0.160:420.02–0.000:450.00–0.001:100.02–0.000:480.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAbdelkader FLarkin FAthanasiou FNyquist FTatar FZetterberg FNielsen FSheahan FMantha FMiller FNosek FGlendening FJensen DDeKeyser DKronwall DGreen DRusso DOuellet DMrazek GEichel FEnnis FO'Reilly FKane FGionta FGirgensons FReinhart FBailey FMoulson FFasching FRodrigues FFoligno FGorges DRistolainen DBogosian DAustin DMcCabe DNelson DLehner G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3227:390:521:5816
Mike GreenDET3025:260:511:5583
Henrik ZetterbergDET2724:030:532:0192
Gustav NyquistDET2723:470:532:01103
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2722:450:511:46310
Josh GorgesBUF3322:170:411:3307
Tomas TatarDET2621:580:511:4693
Jack EichelBUF2420:410:521:4635
Evander KaneBUF2220:270:561:4623
Jake McCabeBUF2920:100:421:4216
Danny DeKeyserDET2719:500:441:2172
Zach BogosianBUF2919:320:401:2726
Niklas KronwallDET2719:250:431:2974
Justin AbdelkaderDET2319:020:502:5075
Dylan LarkinDET2016:420:501:1670
Xavier OuelletDET1916:230:521:1813
Nick JensenDET2216:140:441:1835
Brady AustinBUF2715:370:351:0823
Andreas AthanasiouDET2115:240:441:0980
Robbie RussoDET1915:040:481:3822
Brian GiontaBUF1914:490:471:2932
Tyler EnnisBUF1714:400:521:1332
Casey NelsonBUF2014:200:431:5915
Riley SheahanDET1914:070:451:3861
Sam ReinhartBUF1613:150:501:3413
Frans NielsenDET1713:100:462:0152
Marcus FolignoBUF1813:040:441:1414
Evan RodriguesBUF1913:020:411:1421
Hudson FaschingBUF1812:440:421:1412
Anthony ManthaDET1812:260:411:0822
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1711:180:401:1822
Luke GlendeningDET1611:140:421:0913
Tomas NosekDET1510:050:400:5212
Justin BaileyBUF108:180:501:1700
Matt MoulsonBUF117:240:401:2911
Drew MillerDET106:260:390:5202