Mon, Mar 20, 2017·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 2, Detroit Red Wings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
25%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:39 | 0.08 | 55.3% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.38 | 59.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.00 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:41 | 0.21 | 52.7% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.16 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.00 | 17.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.02 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.06 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.03 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.15 | 67.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.37 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.22 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.16 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.20 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.09 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.25 | 60.8% | +18.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 3.44 | +2.4 | 59:58 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:26 | 0.20 | 54.7% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:03 | 0.37 | 56.2% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:47 | 0.20 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.23 | 65.7% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.10 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.16 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.33 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.04 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.04 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.14 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.06 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:10 | 0.34 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.43 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:05 | 0.71 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.42 | +0.4 | 58:28 |