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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 21, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Girgensons, saved by Murray
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 1:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  5. P1 1:29Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 1:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 2:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Murray
  8. P1 2:37Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Murray
  9. P1 3:28Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  10. P1 3:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 3:41Shot by Streit, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 4:13Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  13. P1 4:21Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 4:56Shot by Moulson, saved by Murray
  15. P1 7:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  16. P1 8:46Ristolainen: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Sheary

  17. P1 8:46Ristolainen: Interference (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Sheary

  18. P1 10:28Shot by Bonino, saved by Lehner4v5
  19. P1 11:21Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner4v5
  20. P1 13:59Shot by Moulson, saved by Murray
  21. P1 15:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  22. P1 15:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  23. P1 16:30Shot by Fasching, saved by Murray
  24. P1 17:28Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Lehner
  25. P1 18:23Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lehner
  26. P1 18:28Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  27. P1 18:26Shot by Streit, saved by Lehner
  28. P1 18:44Shot by Austin, saved by Murray
  29. P1 19:12Girgensons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Girgensons, McCabe, Nelson · PIT Cullen, Streit, Kessel, Schultz, Wilson

  30. P1 19:51Goal by Crosby (Schultz, Sheary)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno · PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, Schultz, Sheary

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:39Shot by Gionta, saved by Murray
  34. P2 1:10Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 1:31Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Murray
  36. P2 2:55Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 3:14Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 3:32Shot by Gionta, saved by Murray
  39. P2 4:20Shot by Cullen, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 4:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  41. P2 5:48Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 8:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 9:34Shot by Streit, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 10:34Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 14:21Shot by Rowney, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 14:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 15:18Shot by Cullen, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 15:42Shot by Kane, saved by Murray
  49. P2 16:10Shot by Kane, saved by Murray
  50. P2 18:52Shot by Schultz, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:09Goal by Reinhart (Fasching, Foligno)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Foligno, McCabe, Fasching, Reinhart, Nelson · PIT Cullen, Streit, Kessel, Wilson, Corrado

  54. P3 3:05Shot by Bailey, saved by Murray
  55. P3 3:51Shot by Bonino, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 3:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 4:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  58. P3 5:24Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 5:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Murray
  60. P3 7:05Nelson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, McCabe, Eichel, Nelson · PIT Cole, Wilson, Sundqvist, Rowney, Ruhwedel

  61. P3 7:25Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner4v5
  62. P3 7:26Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner4v5
  63. P3 8:30Shot by Gionta, saved by Murray4v5
  64. P3 8:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehner4v5
  65. P3 9:24Shot by Ennis, saved by Murray
  66. P3 9:44Ruhwedel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ennis, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson · PIT Cullen, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Rowney, Ruhwedel

  67. P3 12:11Shot by Gorges, saved by Murray
  68. P3 12:36Shot by Girgensons, saved by Murray
  69. P3 13:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Murray
  70. P3 14:31Goal by Bonino (Cole, Kuhnhackl)+37 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Kane, McCabe, Austin, Bailey, Rodrigues · PIT Hornqvist, Bonino, Cole, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl

  71. P3 15:55Shot by Bonino, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 16:06Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 16:29Goal by Sheary, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Girgensons, McCabe · PIT Cullen, Streit, Wilson, Ruhwedel, Sheary

  74. P3 17:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Murray
  75. P3 18:17Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Murray6v5
  76. P3 18:35Kane: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane, Eichel · PIT Cullen, Crosby, Cole, Dumoulin, Sheary

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final