Tue, Mar 21, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
35%
12%
10%
43%
BUF winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kunitz–Crosby–Sheary | Hornqvist–Bonino–Kuhnhackl | Cullen–Kessel–Wilson | Crosby–Guentzel–Sheary | Kuhnhackl–Sundqvist–Rowney | Kunitz–Hornqvist–Bonino | Cullen–Hornqvist–Bonino | Schultz–Dumoulin | Cole–Ruhwedel | Streit–Corrado | Streit–Schultz | Streit–Ruhwedel | Dumoulin–Ruhwedel | Cole–Schultz | Cole–Dumoulin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennis–O'Reilly–Eichel | 3:190.05–0.03 | 3:170.01–0.28 | 1:010.07–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.09 | 0:570.06–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 3:560.12–0.07 | 4:480.07–0.19 | 0:380.03–0.03 | 2:200.03–0.12 | |||||
| Gionta–Kane–Girgensons | 1:130.05–0.23 | 1:490.00–0.04 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:130.17–0.00 | 3:310.19–0.12 | 2:270.04–0.39 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Moulson–Bailey–Reinhart | 1:010.00–0.02 | 1:140.00–0.07 | 1:370.13–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 1:360.00–0.01 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:530.05–0.07 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||
| Foligno–Fasching–Rodrigues | 0:490.00–0.06 | 1:370.19–0.02 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | 1:040.01–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:170.06–0.07 | 0:400.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Foligno–Fasching–Reinhart | 1:090.10–0.07 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:460.05–0.00 | 0:310.10–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Kane–Bailey–Rodrigues | 0:380.05–0.04 | 0:570.07–0.01 | 0:520.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gionta–Moulson–Girgensons | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Reinhart–Eichel | |||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Austin | 5:130.01–0.28 | 4:120.27–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:420.03–0.04 | 4:130.21–0.16 | 3:470.14–0.14 | 1:190.01–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| McCabe–Nelson | 2:500.18–0.17 | 2:170.16–0.07 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:060.07–0.02 | 1:260.00–0.05 | 2:570.05–0.01 | 4:220.31–0.23 | 1:050.05–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||
| Gorges–Bogosian | 4:500.20–0.41 | 3:470.15–0.11 | 1:070.04–0.33 | 1:220.10–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Gorges–McCabe | 2:410.05–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:060.01–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.04 | 0:420.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 2:280.04–0.09 | 1:190.02–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.01 | 0:470.01–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 0:400.00–0.11 | 0:550.00–0.14 | 0:350.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Nelson | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Austin–Nelson | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Gorges–Nelson | 1:010.00–0.02 | 1:140.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| McCabe–Austin | 0:380.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach BogosianBUF | 38 | 33:29 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 4 | 6 |
 Justin SchultzPIT | 34 | 25:56 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 7 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 35 | 24:01 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 32 | 22:52 | 0:43 | 2:19 | 1 | 6 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 29 | 22:31 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 32 | 22:05 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 30 | 21:47 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 20:52 | 1:00 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 23 | 20:35 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 6 | 4 |
 Nick BoninoPIT | 28 | 20:24 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 8 |
 Patric HornqvistPIT | 27 | 20:22 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 5 | 8 |
 Conor ShearyPIT | 24 | 19:39 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Brady AustinBUF | 27 | 19:00 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 4 | 5 |
 Matt CullenPIT | 23 | 18:29 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Chris KunitzPIT | 27 | 18:27 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Ian ColePIT | 25 | 18:22 | 0:44 | 1:52 | 1 | 8 |
 Mark StreitPIT | 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Phil KesselPIT | 23 | 18:13 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 24 | 17:37 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 7 | 0 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 20 | 17:00 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 4 | 1 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 26 | 16:21 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 6 | 0 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 6 | 1 |
 Tom KuhnhacklPIT | 22 | 15:02 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 14 | 13:39 | 0:59 | 1:50 | 2 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 19 | 13:13 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Scott WilsonPIT | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 12:03 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 Hudson FaschingBUF | 16 | 11:48 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 16 | 11:30 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 4 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 12 | 10:04 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 11 | 10:01 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Frank CorradoPIT | 14 | 9:11 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 2 | 1 |
 Carter RowneyPIT | 9 | 6:16 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |
 Oskar SundqvistPIT | 8 | 5:49 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 5 | 3:20 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 5 | 3:04 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |