Tue, Mar 21, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.
35%
12%
10%
43%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:56 | 0.06 | 47.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:31 | 0.34 | 52.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.06 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:24 | 0.23 | 65.2% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.28 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.38 | 64.3% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.12 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.17 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 48.5% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.03 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.01 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.24 | 50.5% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.17 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:16 | 0.03 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:49 | 0.00 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:20 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 1.96 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33:29 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:01 | 0.02 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.02 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20:52 | 0.34 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.07 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.01 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.10 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.10 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.14 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.35 | 80.4% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.18 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.20 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.08 | 73.2% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 71.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.01 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.27 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:04 | 0.03 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.15 | −0.8 | 59:28 |