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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 25, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 0:58Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 1:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:11Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:18Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 2:24Shot by Falk, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 2:48Shot by Gorges, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 4:02Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 4:45Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:05Goal by O'Reilly (Ennis, Okposo)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Austin · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Brown

  12. P1 7:42Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 8:11Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:28Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 9:30Goal by Brown, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ennis, Kulikov, McCabe, Rodrigues · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Carrick, Brown

  16. P1 9:43Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 9:45Goal by Kane (Bogosian, O'Reilly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Austin · TOR Boyle, Hunwick, Martin, Smith, Marchenko

  18. P1 10:06Shot by Kulikov, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 10:10Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 11:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 11:49Okposo: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Kulikov, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander, Matthews

  22. P1 12:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner4v5
  23. P1 12:48Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner4v5
  24. P1 13:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner4v5
  25. P1 14:12Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 14:19Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 14:23Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 16:10Kulikov: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Kulikov, McCabe, Rodrigues · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Hyman, Marchenko, Rielly, Matthews

  29. P1 16:10Kadri: Holding the stick (2 min)4v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Kane, Kulikov, McCabe, Rodrigues · TOR Komarov, Kadri, Hyman, Marchenko, Rielly, Matthews

  30. P1 16:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner4v4
  31. P1 18:02Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen4v4
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:39Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 1:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 2:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 2:22Goal by Matthews (Hunwick, Nylander)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Austin, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  38. P2 2:38Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Boyle, Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Zaitsev

  39. P2 2:47Goal by Eichel (Kulikov, Okposo)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hunwick, Smith, Hyman, Rielly

  40. P2 3:52Shot by McCabe, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 4:07Shot by Carrier, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 4:12Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 4:59Gardiner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ennis, O'Reilly, Austin, Reinhart · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  44. P2 5:30Shot by Okposo, saved by McElhinney5v4
  45. P2 5:59Goal by Kulikov (Ennis, Eichel)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ennis, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Komarov, Marchenko, Brown, Zaitsev

  46. P2 7:20Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  47. P2 7:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 9:05Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 10:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney
  50. P2 11:19Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  51. P2 11:38Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 11:51Shot by Okposo, saved by McElhinney
  53. P2 12:51Shot by Gorges, saved by McElhinney
  54. P2 13:12Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Falk)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Falk, Foligno, Austin, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hunwick, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  55. P2 14:23Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  56. P2 15:35Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  57. P2 15:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 16:54Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  59. P2 17:18Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Foligno, Austin, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev

  60. P2 17:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by McElhinney4v5
  61. P2 18:19Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Lehner4v5
  62. P2 18:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner4v5
  63. P2 18:49Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Lehner4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 0:43Shot by O'Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 0:55Shot by Bogosian, saved by McElhinney
  69. P3 1:10Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 2:21Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 3:00Shot by Carrick, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 3:27Shot by Carrier, saved by McElhinney
  73. P3 4:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 6:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  75. P3 6:17Shot by Rodrigues, saved by McElhinney
  76. P3 6:43Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehner
  77. P3 8:04Ennis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ennis, O'Reilly, Kulikov, McCabe · TOR Hunwick, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marchenko, Marner

  78. P3 9:57Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner4v5
  79. P3 11:28Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  80. P3 15:32Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  81. P3 17:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  82. P3 18:37Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehner
  83. P3 18:51Shot by Hunwick, saved by Lehner
  84. P3 19:09Shot by Eichel, saved by McElhinney
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final