Sat, Mar 25, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
32%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:56 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.04 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.06 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.09 | 53.9% | +21.4 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.35 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.14 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:40 | 0.57 | 68.1% | +21.4 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.18 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.18 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:02 | 0.46 | 68.4% | +16.2 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.05 | 74.2% | +21.4 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.29 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.08 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.03 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
 Alexey MarchenkoD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.01 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Ben SmithRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.14 | 19.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | – | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 1.54 | −0.5 | 19:38 |
 Curtis McElhinney#35 | L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.69 | −1.3 | 40:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dmitry KulikovD · #77 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.12 | 37.3% | +32.4 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:44 | 0.05 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:24 | 0.19 | 72.9% | +16.3 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.55 | 58.9% | +31.6 |
 Josh GorgesD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 94.3% | 0.0 |
 Evander KaneLW · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 16:42 | 0.89 | 70.4% | +16.3 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.11 | 34.2% | +37.5 |
 Brady AustinD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.02 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.38 | 46.4% | +37.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.14 | 30.7% | +5.1 |
 Justin FalkD · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.03 | 93.9% | +5.1 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.16 | 46.3% | +25.9 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.05 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.24 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:19 | 0.23 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:29 | 0.05 | 71.9% | 0.0 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 60:00 |