Sat, Mar 25, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
32%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Komarov–Kadri–Brown | Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | Boyle–Martin–Smith | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Rielly–Carrick | Hunwick–Marchenko | Hunwick–Rielly | Gardiner–Carrick | Hunwick–Zaitsev | Marchenko–Rielly | Carrick–Zaitsev | Hunwick–Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Ennis–O'Reilly | 4:350.44–0.20 | 2:370.24–0.03 | 1:530.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 5:000.27–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 2:210.42–0.19 | 1:100.00–0.00 | |||||
| Gionta–Kane–Rodrigues | 2:180.29–0.18 | 5:220.04–0.12 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.03 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 3:200.04–0.03 | 3:180.12–0.26 | 0:470.15–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.03 | ||||
| Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel | 2:280.04–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 5:280.14–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 5:050.03–0.00 | 2:240.06–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:050.11–0.04 | |||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Carrier | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.00 | 3:410.40–0.13 | 1:480.06–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:540.23–0.10 | 0:310.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Kulikov–McCabe | 10:050.85–0.57 | 2:460.07–0.52 | 2:100.00–0.23 | 0:510.12–0.00 | 2:590.19–0.00 | 5:010.27–0.60 | 4:480.14–0.41 | 2:160.31–0.25 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.11 | 0:420.01–0.01 | ||
| Bogosian–Austin | 1:210.00–0.02 | 4:120.15–0.12 | 1:390.03–0.01 | 5:420.61–0.17 | 2:230.03–0.01 | 3:360.04–0.04 | 2:180.35–0.09 | 1:330.11–0.02 | 2:110.23–0.10 | 0:430.00–0.05 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | |
| Gorges–Falk | 0:400.16–0.00 | 3:500.06–0.01 | 5:100.16–0.00 | 1:360.04–0.02 | 5:180.15–0.00 | 2:120.02–0.01 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:030.15–0.00 | 1:280.08–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | |||
| Falk–Austin | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 34 | 23:55 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 6 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 32 | 23:44 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 22:56 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 2 | 6 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 29 | 21:24 | 0:44 | 2:15 | 8 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 21:22 | 0:44 | 2:07 | 1 | 7 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 26 | 20:29 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 3 | 6 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 26 | 20:06 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 8 | 7 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 26 | 19:33 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 2 | 6 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 24 | 18:59 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 1 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 20 | 18:54 | 0:57 | 1:55 | 3 | 4 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 32 | 18:42 | 0:35 | 1:16 | 3 | 9 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 20 | 18:19 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 3 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 17:40 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 4 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 17:30 | 0:46 | 2:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 22 | 16:42 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 3 | 5 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 20 | 16:32 | 0:50 | 1:56 | 4 | 5 |
 Brady AustinBUF | 26 | 16:16 | 0:38 | 1:33 | 8 | 1 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 15:37 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 15:37 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 6 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 9 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 5 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 15:25 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 26 | 15:05 | 0:35 | 0:54 | 3 | 5 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 21 | 14:16 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 6 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 18 | 14:15 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 6 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 21 | 13:34 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 2 | 0 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 13:12 | 0:38 | 1:41 | 4 | 4 |
 Brian BoyleTOR | 18 | 12:30 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 0 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 12:05 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexey MarchenkoTOR | 19 | 11:15 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 16 | 10:31 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 17 | 10:19 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 5 | 0 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 16 | 10:09 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 0 | 4 |
 William CarrierBUF | 16 | 8:29 | 0:32 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |