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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 30, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Coburn, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:29Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:47Witkowski: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Witkowski, Palat, Drouin, Point · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Helm, Mantha

  7. P1 3:47Mantha: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Witkowski, Palat, Drouin, Point · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Green, Helm, Mantha

  8. P1 4:00Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 4:11Shot by Coburn, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 4:22Goal by Nielsen (Helm)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stralman, Killorn, Namestnikov, Gourde · DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Helm, Russo, Ouellet

  11. P1 5:03Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 5:41Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · DET Abdelkader, Jensen, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin

  13. P1 5:41Ouellet: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · DET Abdelkader, Jensen, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin

  14. P1 7:07Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 9:00Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 14:00Shot by Drouin, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 14:12Shot by Russo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 15:31Shot by Tatar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:10Shot by McKegg, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 17:36Shot by Nosek, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 18:10Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 18:58Goal by Brown (Dumont)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Brown · DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Helm, Jensen, DeKeyser

  23. P1 19:36Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:13Shot by Jensen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 2:19Shot by Palat, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 2:22Goal by Sustr (Palat)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Palat, Sustr, Vermin, Point · DET Miller, Jensen, Sheahan, Ouellet, Nosek

  29. P2 3:03Shot by Stralman, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 3:18Shot by Erne, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 3:30Shot by Vermin, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 4:27Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 4:46Shot by Kronwall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 8:06Shot by Sheahan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 8:30Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 8:31Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Erne, Point · DET Green, Abdelkader, Russo, Athanasiou, Larkin

  37. P2 8:31Dotchin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Erne, Point · DET Green, Abdelkader, Russo, Athanasiou, Larkin

  38. P2 8:37Shot by Russo, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  39. P2 9:45Shot by Green, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  40. P2 10:42Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 11:54Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 12:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 12:46Goal by DeKeyser (Tatar, Zetterberg)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Vermin, Erne · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Russo, DeKeyser

  44. P2 13:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 15:13Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 15:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 15:47Larkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Palat, Dotchin, Drouin, Point · DET Miller, Jensen, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin

  48. P2 16:13Goal by Killorn, unassisted5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Drouin, Point · DET Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser

  49. P2 17:42DeKeyser: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Sustr, Point · DET Nielsen, Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser

  50. P2 16:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Mrazek5v4
  51. P2 18:04Goal by Drouin (Hedman, Point)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Drouin, Point · DET Miller, Russo, Ouellet, Larkin

  52. P2 0:00Namestnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Namestnikov, Sustr, Drouin · DET Abdelkader, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:43Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 2:59Shot by Ouellet, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 3:45Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 3:53Shot by Green, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 4:31Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 4:40Shot by Tatar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:20Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 5:56Shot by Palat, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 6:03Goal by Gourde (Palat, Sustr)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Palat, Gourde, Sustr, Point · DET Miller, Tatar, Jensen, Ouellet, Nosek

  64. P3 6:00Shot by Sustr, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 7:11McKegg: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Tatar, Russo, DeKeyser

  66. P3 7:53Shot by Green, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  67. P3 8:18Goal by Green (Nielsen, Larkin)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stralman, Palat, Gourde · DET Nielsen, Green, Sheahan, Athanasiou, Larkin

  68. P3 9:01Shot by Russo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 9:42Shot by Green, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 10:10Shot by Witkowski, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 10:48Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 11:21Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 12:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek
  74. P3 13:15Shot by Dumont, saved by Mrazek
  75. P3 15:27Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek
  76. P3 15:56Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 16:28Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 17:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 19:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  80. P3 19:47Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  81. P3 19:51Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final