Thu, Mar 30, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
56%
10%
8%
25%
TBL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25:18 | 0.20 | 53.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:26 | 0.11 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.07 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.10 | 26.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.08 | 26.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.12 | 64.6% | +2.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.07 | 28.0% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.14 | 50.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.06 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.13 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:24 | 0.17 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.01 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.05 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.08 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.30 | 62.4% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.16 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.09 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | 0.00 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.15 | −2.9 | 57:32 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:49 | 0.08 | 50.5% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:20 | 0.14 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.02 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.30 | 63.2% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:31 | 0.24 | 56.6% | +11.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.20 | 59.4% | +11.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:22 | 0.79 | 49.0% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.08 | 65.1% | +24.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.15 | 64.5% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.12 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.07 | 49.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.12 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.01 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.21 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:36 | 0.14 | 36.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.07 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 1.94 | −1.1 | 60:00 |