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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 30, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zetterberg–Nyquist–TatarAbdelkader–Athanasiou–LarkinMiller–Sheahan–NosekNielsen–Helm–SheahanAbdelkader–Sheahan–LarkinNielsen–Miller–HelmNielsen–Helm–AthanasiouNielsen–Helm–TatarNielsen–Helm–LarkinNielsen–Helm–ManthaNielsen–Abdelkader–HelmKronwall–GreenRusso–DeKeyserJensen–OuelletJensen–DeKeyserRusso–OuelletGreen–Ouellet
Dumont–McKegg–Brown2:390.06–0.001:080.00–0.030:380.03–0.021:380.00–0.083:170.02–0.080:500.00–0.001:360.03–0.131:440.12–0.020:410.00–0.01
Killorn–Namestnikov–Drouin2:340.10–0.042:140.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:230.03–0.043:550.10–0.030:300.00–0.00
Palat–Gourde–Point1:140.13–0.011:350.02–0.031:030.02–0.000:390.13–0.004:350.33–0.03
Palat–Drouin–Point2:110.11–0.201:370.06–0.000:500.01–0.042:520.11–0.300:370.00–0.000:400.00–0.020:330.00–0.00
Killorn–Namestnikov–Gourde1:460.03–0.040:580.11–0.000:400.00–0.020:480.03–0.030:340.00–0.000:370.05–0.143:200.12–0.020:540.00–0.020:490.11–0.14
Gourde–Vermin–Erne0:540.00–0.030:430.01–0.001:000.00–0.000:430.01–0.00
Dumont–Vermin–Erne0:450.00–0.000:330.00–0.040:450.00–0.00
Dumont–McKegg–Vermin0:480.08–0.010:470.00–0.000:480.08–0.010:520.00–0.00
Vermin–Erne–Drouin1:150.32–0.001:260.32–0.07
Gourde–Erne–Point0:340.00–0.030:500.00–0.11
Vermin–Erne–Point0:560.00–0.010:560.00–0.01
Killorn–Gourde–Point0:550.00–0.080:550.00–0.08
Hedman–Dotchin5:230.25–0.171:550.02–0.042:230.00–0.070:560.00–0.080:520.00–0.005:190.18–0.271:180.06–0.053:170.09–0.051:490.00–0.060:530.00–0.02
Coburn–Sustr2:300.11–0.000:320.00–0.021:560.08–0.040:550.00–0.070:520.03–0.032:310.11–0.034:060.00–0.120:380.15–0.030:460.11–0.00
Coburn–Stralman3:400.10–0.020:330.01–0.040:340.00–0.000:430.01–0.000:350.05–0.143:350.12–0.040:550.00–0.021:250.04–0.000:380.00–0.14
Stralman–Witkowski1:300.42–0.061:080.00–0.000:510.00–0.060:320.04–0.000:550.00–0.082:480.18–0.130:510.28–0.002:140.03–0.17
Hedman–Sustr3:030.07–0.140:560.08–0.022:180.07–0.180:560.00–0.01
Stralman–Sustr1:080.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:360.17–0.000:420.00–0.001:400.00–0.00
Coburn–Witkowski0:380.00–0.070:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:320.00–0.07
Coburn–Dotchin0:330.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.07–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGourde FErne FVermin FPalat FPoint FDrouin FKillorn FNamestnikov FBrown FMcKegg FDumont FStralman DCoburn DDotchin DHedman DSustr DWitkowski DVasilevskiy GMantha FHelm FNielsen FNyquist FTatar FZetterberg FAbdelkader FLarkin FAthanasiou FSheahan FMiller FNosek FJensen DDeKeyser DKronwall DGreen DRusso DOuellet DMrazek G
TBLDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2725:490:572:4542
Mike GreenDET2825:180:541:4952
Anton StralmanTBL2924:200:502:2817
Braydon CoburnTBL2622:490:531:2025
Yanni GourdeTBL2422:440:572:5933
Niklas KronwallDET2522:260:541:4941
Gustav NyquistDET2521:310:521:2931
Henrik ZetterbergDET2520:470:501:2341
Tomas TatarDET2720:430:461:1551
Brayden PointTBL2420:310:512:4022
Jonathan DrouinTBL2720:040:451:3631
Alex KillornTBL2319:220:511:4552
Ondrej PalatTBL2619:140:441:1033
Dylan LarkinDET2719:100:431:2531
Danny DeKeyserDET2619:100:441:2233
Andrej SustrTBL2118:410:531:4513
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2218:200:501:2931
Jake DotchinTBL2217:220:471:4833
Frans NielsenDET2117:120:491:2532
Robbie RussoDET2317:100:451:2212
Andreas AthanasiouDET2616:390:381:1541
Justin AbdelkaderDET2416:240:411:2541
Nick JensenDET1816:230:551:3122
Riley SheahanDET2115:410:451:1661
Xavier OuelletDET1815:010:501:5033
Darren HelmDET1914:350:461:1532
Gabriel DumontTBL1914:060:451:2626
Greg McKeggTBL1711:590:421:3028
Drew MillerDET1411:100:481:2032
Luke WitkowskiTBL1410:280:451:5312
Adam ErneTBL1410:120:441:4100
JT BrownTBL159:360:381:0626
Joel VerminTBL129:160:461:1701
Tomas NosekDET129:110:461:2122
Anthony ManthaDET21:090:350:4300