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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 30, 2017·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 63% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Nylander–Matthewsvan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerKomarov–Kadri–BrownBoyle–Martin–KapanenGardiner–ZaitsevPolak–HunwickRielly–CarrickPolak–RiellyGardiner–CarrickHunwick–ZaitsevPolak–Gardiner
Johansen–Forsberg–Arvidsson4:000.26–0.080:320.00–0.141:350.03–0.000:470.04–0.004:580.27–0.141:040.00–0.080:500.00–0.000:510.03–0.05
Parenteau–Johansen–Forsberg1:350.07–0.003:100.09–0.002:530.16–0.000:470.00–0.001:080.00–0.00
Neal–Jarnkrok–Arvidsson1:320.09–0.381:190.02–0.021:170.11–0.002:100.15–0.411:010.03–0.000:360.02–0.00
Fisher–Parenteau–Wilson0:370.17–0.002:300.04–0.002:340.19–0.000:540.00–0.00
Wilson–Sissons–Fiala0:370.00–0.002:400.02–0.000:340.02–0.001:160.00–0.001:080.00–0.130:460.00–0.00
Neal–Jarnkrok–Fiala0:330.00–0.000:460.02–0.001:230.04–0.050:540.00–0.041:070.04–0.050:440.00–0.00
Fisher–McLeod–Watson1:520.49–0.001:120.00–0.00
McLeod–Watson–Sissons1:290.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:330.00–0.00
Wilson–Jarnkrok–Fiala0:310.00–0.000:310.01–0.000:310.01–0.00
Josi–Ellis8:330.37–0.482:370.03–0.182:420.09–0.071:260.00–0.007:410.36–0.522:510.05–0.153:020.03–0.202:020.04–0.04
Subban–Ekholm1:300.22–0.006:100.13–0.022:300.07–0.051:380.49–0.004:320.69–0.024:350.22–0.041:190.00–0.053:190.02–0.050:530.06–0.000:460.01–0.00
Irwin–Bitetto3:300.06–0.001:560.04–0.000:430.06–0.002:050.00–0.003:300.04–0.000:460.00–0.00
Subban–Ellis0:540.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNeal FJarnkrok FArvidsson FForsberg FParenteau FJohansen FWilson FFiala FSissons FFisher FMcLeod FWatson FEllis DJosi DEkholm DSubban DBitetto DIrwin DRinne GBrown FKadri FKomarov FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FNylander FMatthews FHyman FKapanen FMartin FBoyle FZaitsev DGardiner DCarrick DRielly DHunwick DPolak DAndersen G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3127:390:541:5745
Ryan EllisNSH3126:330:511:5775
P.K. SubbanNSH2825:390:551:4271
Ryan JohansenNSH2724:080:542:0262
Roman PolakTOR2923:050:481:2105
Filip ForsbergNSH2922:240:461:1375
Morgan RiellyTOR3222:050:411:4113
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2721:350:481:3141
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3221:090:401:4253
Jake GardinerTOR2720:200:451:5234
Mattias EkholmNSH2519:260:471:2251
Zach HymanTOR2619:240:451:5923
Matt HunwickTOR2318:530:491:5905
Leo KomarovTOR2517:540:431:1315
Auston MatthewsTOR2417:440:441:2930
Calle JarnkrokNSH2617:000:391:1844
Connor BrownTOR2416:320:411:0914
Colin WilsonNSH2216:150:441:0860
William NylanderTOR2115:550:451:1040
Tyler BozakTOR2515:390:381:1037
Nazem KadriTOR2215:260:421:1524
James van RiemsdykTOR2115:100:431:2134
Mitch MarnerTOR2114:320:421:1034
Mike FisherNSH2014:190:430:5941
Kevin FialaNSH1913:560:441:0930
James NealNSH1813:170:441:2310
PA ParenteauNSH2012:160:370:5761
Connor CarrickTOR1811:150:381:0812
Colton SissonsNSH1210:320:531:4630
Austin WatsonNSH1410:130:441:3721
Kasperi KapanenTOR169:420:361:0912
Brian BoyleTOR199:390:301:0018
Matt IrwinNSH118:250:461:4830
Anthony BitettoNSH117:520:431:3730
Matt MartinTOR106:220:381:0911
Cody McLeodNSH86:150:471:4600