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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 9, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 86% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:01Shot by Kulikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 3:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Dumont, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:35Shot by Conacher, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 3:45Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:31Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 6:12Shot by Coburn, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 7:25Shot by Conacher, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 8:06Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:47Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 11:05Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 12:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 13:56Goal by Carrier (Nylander, Bogosian)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Witkowski, Namestnikov, Erne, Drouin · BUF Kulikov, Carrier, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Nylander

  15. P1 15:09Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 15:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 16:00Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 16:32Shot by Stralman, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 16:55Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 19:58Shot by Sustr, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:52Shot by Stralman, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 2:21Shot by Sustr, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 3:54Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 4:04Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 5:44Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 5:53Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 5:59Goal by Point (Hedman, Dotchin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · BUF Gorges, Franson, Carrier, Rodrigues, Nylander

  31. P2 6:23Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 7:05Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 7:12Eichel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · BUF Bogosian, Ennis, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  34. P2 8:33Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark5v4
  35. P2 9:06Shot by Stralman, saved by Ullmark5v4
  36. P2 9:28Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 10:26Brown: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Witkowski, Dumont, McKegg, Brown · BUF Ennis, Kulikov, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  38. P2 11:15Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  39. P2 11:17Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  40. P2 12:20Goal by Coburn (Namestnikov, Killorn)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Sustr · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Ennis, Kulikov, Nylander

  41. P2 12:45Girgensons: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumont, McKegg, Brown, Dotchin · BUF Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier, Rodrigues

  42. P2 14:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark5v4
  43. P2 14:42Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark5v4
  44. P2 14:58Carrier: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Dotchin, Point · BUF Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Carrier, Nylander

  45. P2 15:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark5v4
  46. P2 18:08Shot by Franson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:46Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 2:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 2:28Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 3:00Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 3:46Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 4:25Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 5:22Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 7:17Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 10:28Shot by Stralman, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 11:09Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 11:17Goal by Kane (Gionta, O'Reilly)+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Namestnikov, Dotchin, Erne, Drouin · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe

  60. P3 11:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 12:05Shot by Dotchin, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 14:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 16:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 17:10Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 17:16Shot by Bogosian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 17:27Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 17:56Shot by Gionta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 18:08Shot by Witkowski, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 18:36Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stralman)+46 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Witkowski, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Kulikov, Carrier, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Nylander

  70. P3 18:50Shot by Kulikov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  71. P3 19:32Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  72. P3 19:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  73. P3 19:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  74. P3 19:59Goal by Hedman (Stralman, Point)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Point · BUF Ennis, O'Reilly, Kane, Kulikov, Reinhart, Eichel

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final