Sun, Apr 9, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 86% of the time.
80%
9%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.05 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.04 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.08 | 36.6% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.06 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:46 | 0.27 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.02 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.02 | 62.4% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.12 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.07 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.17 | 57.9% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.22 | 53.3% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.04 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.01 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.10 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 48.5% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.05 | 42.6% | +15.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.64 | −0.4 | 58:44 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.55 | 52.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.56 | 65.7% | +46.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 18:40 | 0.43 | 53.3% | +64.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.21 | 56.7% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.20 | 55.3% | +45.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.03 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.34 | 72.0% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 55.7% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.07 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 16:25 | 0.50 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.01 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.18 | 60.6% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.03 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.31 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.11 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.34 | −0.7 | 60:00 |