Thu, Oct 5, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 70% of the time.
62%
8%
23%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 29:30 | 0.07 | 61.1% | +26.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 22:37 | 0.34 | 59.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.02 | 45.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:05 | 0.52 | 61.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.16 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.36 | 59.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.13 | 10.0% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.32 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:52 | 0.25 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.10 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:25 | 0.10 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:39 | 0.09 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.14 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.00 | 86.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 43 | 2 | .956 | 3.88 | +1.9 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26:58 | 0.32 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:29 | 0.29 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.06 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.14 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.19 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.24 | 42.8% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 11 | 18:42 | 1.06 | 38.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.10 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.00 | 90.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.43 | 37.1% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.24 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.08 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.17 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.28 | 88.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:24 | 0.24 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.04 | 13.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 64:49 |