Thu, Oct 12, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
47%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:38 | 0.13 | 47.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:03 | 0.72 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.21 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.04 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:46 | 0.63 | 64.6% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.40 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.17 | 55.5% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.23 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:45 | 0.09 | 57.4% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.03 | 23.9% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.34 | 48.9% | +34.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.26 | 50.9% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.06 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.09 | 50.1% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 71.1% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:25 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.10 | −1.9 | 58:52 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28:17 | 0.23 | 70.2% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 46.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.18 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.27 | 35.4% | +58.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.29 | 53.9% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.30 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:40 | 0.62 | 78.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.06 | 32.3% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.04 | 45.4% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.04 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.32 | 78.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.41 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.11 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 48.2% | +20.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 9:44 | 0.13 | 50.5% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:59 | 0.11 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:22 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.42 | −0.6 | 60:00 |