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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 21, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Oduya, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:46Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:33Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen6v5
  8. P1 4:33Carrick: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Brown · TOR Moore, Martin, Carrick, Marner, Borgman

  9. P1 5:16Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson5v4
  10. P1 6:32Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 7:34Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 7:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 9:29Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 11:09Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 11:56Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 12:01Goal by Thompson (Burrows, Brown)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Burrows, Thompson, Karlsson, Brown · TOR Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Zaitsev

  17. P1 12:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 12:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 15:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 16:03Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 16:56Shot by Borgman, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 17:15Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 17:32Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 5:36Shot by Borgman, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 5:43Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 6:15Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 6:34Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 8:59Shot by Hainsey, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 9:04Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 9:09Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 11:59Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 12:42Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 14:20Goal by Dzingel (Karlsson, Wideman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Thompson, Karlsson, Wideman, Dzingel, Brown · TOR Moore, Komarov, Martin, Carrick, Borgman

  37. P2 14:36Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 15:19Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 15:20Marner: Delaying game bench face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev

  40. P2 16:02Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 16:42Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 17:21Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 17:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 18:01Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 18:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 19:06Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 19:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 19:48Goal by Brassard (Ryan, Karlsson)+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 2:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 4:52Shot by Oduya, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 6:00Goal by van Riemsdyk (Hainsey, Brown)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DiDomenico, Turris, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown

  55. P3 6:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 6:30Shot by Hainsey, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 6:50Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 8:34Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Hainsey)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel, Brown · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  59. P3 8:39Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 8:41Goal by Stone, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, DiDomenico, Wideman, Stone, Claesson · TOR Moore, Komarov, Gardiner, Martin, Zaitsev

  61. P3 11:09Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 11:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 11:56Burrows: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel · TOR Hainsey, Moore, Martin, Rielly, Brown

  64. P3 12:52Goal by Nylander (Gardiner, Matthews)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Thompson, Pyatt, Ceci · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  65. P3 13:01Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 13:14Shot by Pyatt, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 15:47Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 16:24Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 16:30Goal by Brassard (Stone, Karlsson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Thompson, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev

  70. P3 16:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 18:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson5v6
  72. P3 18:21Goal by Stone (Brassard, Phaneuf)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Thompson, Brassard, Stone, Ceci · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  73. P3 19:21Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 19:35Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 19:40Oduya: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel, Brown · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  76. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  77. P3 0:00Final4v5