Sat, Oct 21, 2017·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.
80%
10%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Brown | Marleau–Komarov–Kadri | Moore–Martin–Marner | Marleau–Kadri–Marner | Moore–Komarov–Martin | Nylander–Marner–Matthews | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Hainsey–Rielly | Carrick–Borgman | Gardiner–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan–Brassard–Stone | 4:420.18–0.08 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 1:120.08–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:020.10–0.03 | 3:570.12–0.08 | ||||||
| Pyatt–Hoffman–Pageau | 1:470.04–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 1:320.14–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 2:210.06–0.04 | 2:100.14–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.00 | ||||
| Burrows–Turris–Dzingel | 1:300.08–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Burrows–Thompson–Brown | 1:240.04–0.00 | 0:380.19–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:380.19–0.00 | 2:490.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Thompson–Pyatt–Pageau | 1:400.00–0.03 | 1:110.01–0.13 | 1:380.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.13 | |||||||
| DiDomenico–Turris–Dzingel | 1:200.00–0.09 | 0:380.05–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.10 | 1:320.05–0.19 | 1:020.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Thompson–Brassard–Stone | 1:310.32–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Burrows–Turris–Hoffman | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Turris–Hoffman–Dzingel | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Turris–Dzingel–Brown | 0:440.00–0.09 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Pyatt–Brassard–Stone | 0:590.00–0.16 | 0:360.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Brassard–Turris–Stone | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Oduya–Karlsson | 1:180.00–0.00 | 3:450.01–0.16 | 4:250.48–0.08 | 1:450.09–0.06 | 1:540.02–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.01 | 5:510.58–0.20 | 5:230.28–0.12 | 1:420.00–0.03 | 1:060.14–0.00 | ||
| Phaneuf–Ceci | 8:060.18–0.38 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:180.05–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.13 | 5:510.12–0.20 | 4:320.06–0.28 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.13 | ||
| Claesson–Ceci | 1:560.00–0.03 | 1:290.00–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.03 | 1:100.04–0.09 | 2:210.00–0.00 | |||||
| Wideman–Claesson | 1:500.20–0.05 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:250.45–0.00 | 1:030.45–0.00 | 0:540.20–0.03 | 3:140.05–0.02 | ||||||
| Oduya–Claesson | 1:430.08–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Karlsson–Wideman | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:170.13–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:450.13–0.00 | 1:330.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Phaneuf–Karlsson | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Phaneuf–Wideman | 1:070.20–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 1:050.04–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 34 | 24:17 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 5 | 5 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 30 | 23:19 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 5 | 6 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 27 | 22:50 | 0:51 | 2:16 | 2 | 7 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 32 | 22:45 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 3 | 5 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 29 | 21:57 | 0:45 | 2:02 | 1 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 21:00 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Johnny OduyaOTT | 30 | 20:24 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 28 | 20:17 | 0:43 | 2:09 | 7 | 4 |
 Dion PhaneufOTT | 28 | 19:43 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Mike HoffmanOTT | 28 | 18:56 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 4 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 18:33 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 25 | 18:30 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 4 | 1 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 26 | 18:29 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 4 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 26 | 18:06 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 2 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 25 | 17:19 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Alexandre BurrowsOTT | 25 | 16:37 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Fredrik ClaessonOTT | 24 | 16:36 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 6 | 2 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 25 | 16:12 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 24 | 16:03 | 0:40 | 2:13 | 7 | 2 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 25 | 15:53 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 26 | 15:39 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 15:36 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Andreas BorgmanTOR | 20 | 15:23 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 25 | 15:22 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 24 | 15:14 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 6 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 25 | 15:09 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 3 | 5 |
 Nate ThompsonOTT | 23 | 14:50 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 4 | 8 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 24 | 14:30 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 6 | 3 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 18 | 14:15 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 23 | 13:27 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 23 | 12:20 | 0:32 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 18 | 11:45 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Logan BrownOTT | 16 | 10:49 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Dominic MooreTOR | 15 | 9:48 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 14 | 8:39 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Christopher DiDomenicoOTT | 9 | 5:26 | 0:36 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |