Sat, Oct 28, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
73%
15%
TOR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 27:11 | 0.14 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:43 | 0.04 | 42.4% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.19 | 46.3% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.16 | 46.3% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.22 | 22.2% | +37.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.25 | 45.3% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.10 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.16 | 39.0% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.18 | 33.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:20 | 0.06 | 36.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.03 | 23.2% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 13:09 | 0.12 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.13 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.21 | 51.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.11 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 4.00 | +2.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.05 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:25 | 0.14 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.23 | 57.8% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.34 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.72 | 78.6% | +19.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.67 | 58.2% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.31 | 69.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.21 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.33 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.07 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.05 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.24 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.08 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.03 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:56 | 0.39 | 64.6% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:31 | 0.13 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.11 | −1.9 | 56:45 |