Tue, Nov 7, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 1, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.
70%
9%
14%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Smith-Pelly | Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana | Eller–Wilson–Stephenson | Beagle–Chiasson–Walker | Oshie–Backstrom–Chiasson | Oshie–Backstrom–Walker | Beagle–Smith-Pelly–Walker | Ovechkin–Oshie–Backstrom | Orpik–Carlson | Ness–Orlov | Chorney–Djoos | Orlov–Djoos | Carlson–Djoos | Carlson–Orlov | Chorney–Orlov | Ness–Djoos | Orpik–Orlov | Orpik–Chorney | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pouliot–Okposo–O'Reilly | 1:420.12–0.09 | 4:010.38–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 3:160.43–0.00 | 2:340.03–0.02 | 1:220.09–0.04 | 1:160.06–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.05 | ||||||
| Pominville–Kane–Eichel | 5:310.21–0.22 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:060.18–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 6:430.20–0.23 | 2:280.19–0.00 | 0:580.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Nolan–Larsson–Girgensons | 0:410.04–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.07 | 2:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:170.05–0.00 | 2:250.02–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Griffith–Baptiste–Reinhart | 1:260.04–0.00 | 1:320.02–0.09 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 1:520.01–0.00 | 1:090.11–0.00 | 2:530.06–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Kane–Larsson–Eichel | 1:130.00–0.24 | 0:530.00–0.24 | ||||||||||||||||
| Kane–Griffith–Reinhart | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Pouliot–O'Reilly–Larsson | 0:350.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||||
| Falk–Scandella | 9:430.24–0.50 | 1:170.01–0.00 | 1:460.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 6:590.11–0.21 | 3:580.24–0.00 | 1:080.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.24 | 0:370.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Fedun–McCabe | 2:060.20–0.04 | 4:400.36–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:270.06–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 4:310.32–0.01 | 2:390.21–0.02 | 2:550.04–0.09 | 1:590.06–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Redmond–Antipin | 0:310.04–0.01 | 2:480.05–0.09 | 3:050.18–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 2:510.25–0.02 | 2:350.04–0.07 | 3:380.02–0.02 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Scandella–Fedun | 0:570.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Redmond–McCabe | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Scandella–McCabe | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 31 | 26:34 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 3 | 5 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 25:34 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 4 | 7 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 27 | 24:24 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 3 | 5 |
 Brooks OrpikWSH | 24 | 21:52 | 0:55 | 2:18 | 4 | 4 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 21:49 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 6 | 2 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 24 | 21:43 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 29 | 21:31 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 6 | 6 |
 Taylor FedunBUF | 28 | 20:59 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 29 | 19:50 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 19:34 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 4 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 21 | 19:22 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 21 | 19:08 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 22 | 18:53 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 27 | 18:15 | 0:41 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 17:44 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Christian DjoosWSH | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 24 | 16:45 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Devante Smith-PellyWSH | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 24 | 16:05 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 5 | 0 |
 Taylor ChorneyWSH | 22 | 15:42 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 17 | 14:48 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Aaron NessWSH | 21 | 14:16 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 |
 Zach RedmondBUF | 17 | 14:12 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Alex ChiassonWSH | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 13:27 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 13:04 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 16 | 12:07 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 17 | 11:54 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 0 | 6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 14 | 11:37 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 18 | 11:35 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 16 | 10:56 | 0:41 | 1:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Seth GriffithBUF | 15 | 9:54 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Chandler StephensonWSH | 15 | 9:27 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 16 | 8:47 | 0:33 | 0:52 | 2 | 1 |
 Nathan WalkerWSH | 10 | 8:29 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |