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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 17, 2017·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 86% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Falk, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 3:25Shot by Criscuolo, saved by Howard
  5. P1 5:12Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  6. P1 6:35Beaulieu: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, Larkin · BUF Nolan, Beaulieu, Girgensons, McCabe, Criscuolo

  7. P1 7:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner5v4
  8. P1 7:21Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard5v4
  9. P1 10:09Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Howard
  10. P1 11:23Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 12:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 13:02Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 13:30Daley: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Ericsson, Tatar, Athanasiou, Mantha · BUF Gorges, Kane, Reinhart, Eichel, Antipin

  14. P1 15:17Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Howard4v5
  15. P1 17:19Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 18:05Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 19:28Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:24Shot by Kane, saved by Howard
  21. P2 1:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  22. P2 2:49Nolan: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Jensen, Wilson, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Larkin · BUF Gorges, Pouliot, Nolan, Criscuolo, Antipin

  23. P2 3:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner5v4
  24. P2 3:57Shot by Green, saved by Lehner5v4
  25. P2 4:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner5v4
  26. P2 4:23Kane: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar · BUF Falk, Scandella, Kane, Eichel

  27. P2 4:31Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner5v3
  28. P2 4:55Shot by Nolan, saved by Howard5v4
  29. P2 6:07Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner5v4
  30. P2 6:15Shot by Mantha, saved by Lehner5v4
  31. P2 7:10Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 8:36Griffith: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Daley, Lashoff, Tatar, Wilson, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Gorges, Kane, Reinhart, Eichel, Antipin

  33. P2 9:36Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner5v4
  34. P2 13:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 15:06Shot by Girgensons, saved by Howard
  36. P2 16:29Shot by Griffith, saved by Howard
  37. P2 17:55Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 19:04Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 19:05Goal by Glendening (Helm)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · BUF Pouliot, Okposo, O'Reilly, Beaulieu, McCabe

  40. P2 19:23Helm: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · BUF Falk, Scandella, Kane, Reinhart, Eichel

  41. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:37Shot by Gorges, saved by Howard
  44. P3 2:39Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  45. P3 3:04Nolan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Tatar, Wilson, Athanasiou · BUF Falk, Scandella, Nolan, Girgensons, Criscuolo

  46. P3 3:53Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lehner5v4
  47. P3 5:48Shot by Antipin, saved by Howard
  48. P3 5:50Goal by O'Reilly (Okposo, Antipin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Jensen, Ouellet, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Pominville, Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Antipin

  49. P3 6:32Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Howard
  50. P3 7:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Howard
  51. P3 7:43Shot by Jensen, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 8:36Goal by Tatar (Abdelkader, Athanasiou)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, Ouellet, Athanasiou · BUF Pominville, Gorges, Larsson, Griffith, Antipin

  53. P3 8:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  54. P3 8:47Shot by Scandella, saved by Howard
  55. P3 9:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  56. P3 11:29Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  57. P3 13:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 13:33Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 14:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  60. P3 14:49Shot by Helm, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 15:10Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 15:54Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 15:54Goal by Larkin (Ouellet, Abdelkader)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, Ouellet, Larkin · BUF Kane, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Eichel, Antipin

  64. P3 16:31Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 17:18Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final